Luzern vs Lugano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swiss Super League Luzern - Lugano
Result
0:2
04/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Championship Group - Round 34
  • Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)
Luzern - Lugano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.60
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
84% (354/421)78% (268/342)
Yellow Cards
47
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.143.48
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
112
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3618
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
84% (354/421)78% (268/342)
Long passes
57% (28/49)47% (31/66)
Passes in final third
77% (127/165)74% (66/89)
Crosses
34% (10/29)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
3.280.46
Throw-ins
1812
Fouls
1012
Tackles
71% (15/21)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5228
Clearances
728
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
3.480.14
Goals prevented
1.480.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Bottani M. , Zanotti M. (A),
  • 16', Beloko N. 🟨,
  • 21', Cimignani Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Beloko N. , Spadanuda K. ,
  • 55', Bottani M. 🟨,
  • 55', Villiger L. 🟨,
  • 55', Freimann B. M. 🟨,
  • 56', Steffen R. 🟨,
  • 59', Saipi A. , Osigwe S. ,
  • 60', Dos Santos D. , Doumbia O. ,
  • 61', Doumbia O. 🟨,
  • 68', Cimignani Y. , Koutsias G. ,
  • 68', Bottani M. , Brault-Guillard Z. ,
  • 69', El Wafi A. 🟨,
  • 71', Villiger L. , Klidje T. ,
  • 81', El Wafi A. , Hajdari A. ,
  • 82', Osigwe S. 🟨,
  • 84', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
  • 86', Freimann B. M. 🟨,
  • 87', Owusu T. , Ottiger S. ,
  • 87', Stankovic A. , Kadak J. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 2, Koutsias G. , Steffen R. (A),

Chances of winning


Luzern
34.6%
Draw
26.3%
Lugano
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 27.2% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 27.1% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Luzern - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.57)
    3.58
    (3.47)
    2.4
    (2.61)
    6.4%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Luzern - Lugano?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 1.
    • In recent matches, Luzern has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lugano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Luzern: Chader S. (Muscle Injury) Klidje T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lugano: Hajdari A. (Inactive) Osigwe S. (Inactive) Valenzuela M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:38. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - Lugano were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Lugano - Luzern 2:0
    07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4
    11.08.2024 Lugano - Luzern 2:3
    03.03.2024 Luzern - Lugano 0:1
    03.12.2023 Lugano - Luzern 1:0
    Latest results of Luzern
    21.04.2025 Servette - Luzern 2:1
    13.04.2025 Luzern - Young Boys 5:0
    06.04.2025 Grasshoppers - Luzern 3:1
    03.04.2025 Luzern - St. Gallen 1:1
    30.03.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Luzern 1:4
    Latest results of Lugano
    21.04.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 2:0
    13.04.2025 Lugano - St. Gallen 1:1
    06.04.2025 Basel - Lugano 2:0
    01.04.2025 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2
    29.03.2025 Lugano - Servette 0:2
    Swiss Super League Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Basel ✔ 37217987:434470
    2Servette371711961:52962
    3Young Boys371791159:481160
    4Lugano371581454:57-353
    5Lausanne3714101359:51852
    6Luzern3714101366:60652

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Basel is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Luzern - Lugano?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
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