Lugano vs Lausanne HC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Swiss National League Hockey Lugano - Lausanne HC
Result
4:5
26/09/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : National League - Round 8
Lugano - Lausanne HC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3133
Shots off target
1420
Shooting PCT
12.9% (4/31)15.15% (5/33)
Blocked Shots
1416
Goalkeeper Saves
2827
Saves PCT
84.85% (28/33)87.1% (27/31)
Penalties
44
PIM
88
Power-play Goals
21
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (2/4)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)50% (2/4)
Faceoffs Won
2734
Faceoffs %
44.2655.74
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:10, Omark L. (2 min),
  • 10:15, Aebischer D. (2 min),
  • 13:18, 1 - 0, Sgarbossa M. (G), Perlini B. (A),
  • 17:33, 1 - 1, Jager K. (G), Niku S. (A), Zehnder Y. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 2)
  • 02:31, Douay F. (2 min),
  • 02:38, 2 - 1, Fazzini L. (G), Omark L. (A),
  • 04:46, Morini G. (2 min),
  • 10:36, Douay F. (2 min),
  • 13:16, 3 - 1, Peltonen A. (G), Tanner R. (A), Morini G. (A2)
  • 15:09, 3 - 2, Bougro B. (G), Prassl R. (A), Hugli M. (A2)
  • 16:03, Tanner R. (2 min),
  • 16:09, 3 - 3, Fuchs J. (G),
  • 19:49, Brannstrom E. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 09:41, 3 - 4, Caggiula D. (G),
  • 11:50, Brannstrom E. (2 min),
  • 13:23, 4 - 4, Sgarbossa M. (G), Carrick C. (A),
  • 15:05, 4 - 5, Brannstrom E. (G), Riat D. (A),

Chances of winning


Lugano
31.7%
Draw
22.7%
Lausanne HC
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 22.6% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 22% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Lausanne HC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne HC than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Lugano - Lausanne HC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (3.04)
    4.12
    (4.19)
    2.08
    (2.06)
    6%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for Lugano - Lausanne HC?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lausanne HC will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
    • Lugano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lausanne HC is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lausanne HC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Lausanne HC will win today's game, with odds of 2.07.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 56:65. (average 2.8:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 2.6:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Lausanne HC were as follows:
    21.02.2025 Lausanne HC - Lugano 4:3
    10.01.2025 Lugano - Lausanne HC 1:3
    26.10.2024 Lugano - Lausanne HC 2:3
    21.09.2024 Lausanne HC - Lugano 2:4
    27.01.2024 Lugano - Lausanne HC 4:2
    Latest results of Lugano
    23.09.2025 Lugano - Bern 0:3
    20.09.2025 Davos - Lugano 2:0
    19.09.2025 Lugano - Ajoie 2:0
    16.09.2025 Biel - Lugano 3:2
    13.09.2025 ZSC Lions - Lugano 5:1
    Latest results of Lausanne HC
    Swiss National League Hockey Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Davos9720036:1425
    2Lausanne9700242:1821
    3Fribourg9430231:2118
    4Rapperswil-Jona9600330:2218
    5Zug9413126:2317
    6Servette9502227:3317
    7Zurich9402326:2214
    8EHC Kloten9311422:2512
    9Langnau Tigers9221422:3011
    10Bern8210512:188
    11Biel8040421:288
    12Lugano9202516:248
    13Ajoie9102616:335
    14Ambri-Piotta9101714:304

          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          National League (Play Out: )

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