Lugano vs HJK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio di Cornaredo (Lugano).

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.67	0.42
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Goal Attempts
21	9
Shots on Goal
7	4
Shots off Goal
8	3
Blocked Shots
6	2
Free Kicks
12	15
Corner Kicks
5	2
Offsides
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
Fouls
14	12
Yellow Cards
1	0
Total Passes
680	418
Completed Passes
590	336
Crosses Completed
9	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Hajdari A. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Papadopoulos A. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Marques M. ⚽,
60', Halme A. ↓, Palumets K. ↑,
60', Hostikka S. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
65', Bottani M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
65', Bislimi U. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
65', Aliseda I. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
75', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
75', Erwin L. ↓, Plange L. ↑,
77', Belhadj M. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
88', Marques M. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
88', Kokcu O. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Dos Santos D. ⚽, Przybylko K. (A),

Chances of winning

Lugano
74.1%

Draw
16.5%

HJK
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

21.8%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

22.1%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugano - HJK Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.53)	5.68 ↑ (4.28)	9.94 ↑ (5.43)	5.7% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Lugano - HJK?

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 31 - 88.6%). HJK will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 78.1% – 99.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Playing home matches at a different stadium.
Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches HJK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Lugano is indisputable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Lugano to win the game is with odds 1.44.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against HJK?

Lugano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Lugano?

HJK has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - HJK were as follows:

Latest results of Lugano

29.09.2024 Lugano - Winterthur 2:1 ✺

22.09.2024 Sion - Lugano 0:0 ✺

18.09.2024 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 1:2 ✺

14.09.2024 Rapperswil-Jona - Lugano 1:3 ✺

01.09.2024 Lugano - St. Gallen 1:1 ✺

Latest results of HJK

28.09.2024 HJK - Ilves 0:1 ✺

20.09.2024 VPS Vaasa - HJK 1:1 ✺

14.09.2024 HJK - SJK 2:2 ✺

01.09.2024 VPS Vaasa - HJK 1:3 ✺

29.08.2024 HJK - KÍ Klaksvík 2:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Buducnost	Bye
2	Bye	Milsami
4	Bye	Virtus
5	Vikingur	Bye
7	Zalgiris	Bye
8	Bye	Linfield
9	TNS	Bye
10	Bye	Differdange
11	Levadia	Bye
12	Bye	Iberia 1999
13	O. Ljubljana	Bye
14	Bye	Inter Escaldes
15	Din. Minsk	Bye
16	Bye	Egnatia
17	Decic	Sileks	1 : 2, 2 : 0
18	Bye	SK Rapid
19	Dundee Utd	Bye
20	Bye	UNA Strassen
21	Aktobe	Bye
22	Bye	Sparta Prague
23	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
24	Bye	U. Cluj
25	Ilves	Bye
26	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
27	Vaduz	Bye
28	Bye	Dungannon
33	Radnicki 1923	Bye
34	SJK	Klaksvik	0 : 2, 1 : 2
35	Kosice	Bye
36	Urartu	Neman	0 : 4, 1 : 2
37	Riga FC	Bye
38	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori	0 : 1, 1 : 2
39	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest	2 : 0, 1 : 2
40	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
41	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils	4 : 2, 0 : 1
42	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 : 8, 0 : 1
43	HB Torshavn	Bye
44	Bye	Brondby
45	Zira	Bye
46	Bye	Hajduk Split
47	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange	3 : 2, 2 : 0
48	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
53	La Fiorita	Vardar	2 : 2, 0 : 3
54	Bye	Lausanne
55	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
56	Bye	FC Astana
57	Larne	Auda	3 : 2, 0 : 0
58	Bye	Prishtina
59	Varazdin	Bye
60	Bye	Santa Clara
61	Aris	Bye
62	Bye	Puskas Academy
63	AEK Athens FC	Bye
64	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
65	Viking	Bye
66	Zeljeznicar	Koper	1 : 3, 1 : 1
67	Cherno More	Bye
68	Bye	Basaksehir
69	Araz	Bye
70	Bye	Aris
71	Omonia	Bye
72	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy	1 : 1, 4 : 3
73	FC Ballkani	Bye
74	Floriana	Haverfordwest	3 : 2, 2 : 1
75	St Josephs	Cliftonville	3 : 2, 2 : 2
76	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
77	Rakow	Bye
78	Bye	Zilina
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki	1 : 0, 3 : 0
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	AIK	Bye
82	Magpies	Paide	1 : 4, 2 : 3
83	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 5, 1 : 0
84	Bye	Gyor
85	FK Sarajevo	Bye
86	Bye	Univ. Craiova
87	Hibernians	Bye
88	Bye	Trnava
89	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
90	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma	2 : 0, 1 : 4
91	Paks	Bye
92	Bye	Maribor
95	Birkirkara	Petrocub	0 : 3, 1 : 0
96	Bye	Sabah Baku
97	Silkeborg	Bye
98	Bye	KA Akureyri
99	Novi Pazar	Bye
100	Bye	Jagiellonia
101	Oleksandriya	Bye
102	Bye	Partizan
107	Austria Vienna	Bye
108	Bye	Spaeri
109	Rosenborg	Bye
110	Bye	Banga
111	Hammarby	Bye
112	Bye	Charleroi
113	St. Patricks	Hegelmann	2 : 0, 1 : 0
114	Kalju	Partizani	1 : 0, 1 : 1
117	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont	1 : 1, 3 : 0
118	Valur	Flora	2 : 1, 3 : 0
119	Arda	Bye
120	NSI Runavik	HJK	0 : 5, 4 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Buducnost	Milsami	0 : 0
2	Bye	Virtus
3	Vikingur	Bye
4	Zalgiris	Linfield
5	TNS	Differdange	0 : 1
6	Levadia	Iberia 1999	1 : 0
7	O. Ljubljana	Inter Escaldes	4 : 2
8	Din. Minsk	Egnatia
9	Decic	SK Rapid
10	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen
11	Aktobe	Sparta Prague
12	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj
13	Ilves	AZ Alkmaar
14	Vaduz	Dungannon
17	Radnicki 1923	Klaksvik
18	Kosice	Neman
19	Riga FC	Dila Gori
20	Sutjeska	Beitar Jerusalem
21	Vllaznia	Vikingur Reykjavik
22	HB Torshavn	Brondby
23	Zira	Hajduk Split	1 : 1
24	Atletic Escaldes	Dinamo Tirana
27	Vardar	Lausanne
28	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana
29	Larne	Prishtina
30	Varazdin	Santa Clara
31	Aris	Puskas Academy
32	AEK Athens FC	H. Beer Sheva
33	Viking	Koper
34	Cherno More	Basaksehir
35	Araz	Aris
36	Omonia	Torpedo Kutaisi
37	FC Ballkani	Floriana	4 : 2
38	St Josephs	Shamrock Rovers
39	Rakow	Zilina
40	Zhodino	Maccabi Haifa
41	AIK	Paide
42	Pyunik Yerevan	Gyor
43	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova
44	Hibernians	Trnava
45	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Santa Coloma
46	Paks	Maribor
48	Petrocub	Sabah Baku
49	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri	1 : 1
50	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia
51	Oleksandriya	Partizan
54	Austria Vienna	Spaeri
55	Rosenborg	Banga
56	Hammarby	Charleroi
57	St. Patricks	Kalju
59	Kauno Zalgiris	Valur
60	Arda	HJK

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	Virtus
2	Vikingur	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
9	TBD #17	TBD #18
10	TBD #19	TBD #20
11	TBD #21	TBD #22
12	TBD #23	TBD #24
14	TBD #27	TBD #28
15	TBD #29	TBD #30
16	TBD #31	TBD #32
17	TBD #33	TBD #34
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	TBD #37	TBD #38
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	TBD #41	TBD #42
22	TBD #43	TBD #44
23	TBD #45	TBD #46
24	Bye	TBD #48
25	TBD #49	TBD #50
26	TBD #51	Bye
27	Bye	TBD #54
28	TBD #55	TBD #56
29	TBD #57	Bye
30	TBD #59	TBD #60

Which TV channels are streaming of Lugano - HJK?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	Canal+ Live 14
Iceland	Viaplay
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 16, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 17
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+