Mackenzie McDonald vs Luciano Darderi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Winston-Salem Mackenzie McDonald - Luciano Darderi
Result
1:2
19/08/2025 at 16:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem, hard - 1/16-finals
Mackenzie McDonald - Luciano Darderi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
2022
Double Faults
55
1st Serve Percentage
67%55%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (52/72)82% (54/66)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (18/35)52% (28/54)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)75% (9/12)
1st Return Points Won
18% (12/66)28% (20/72)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (26/54)49% (17/35)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)44% (4/9)
Winners
4149
Unforced Errors
4536
Net Points Won
60% (18/30)52% (11/21)
Service Points Won
67% (70/104)68% (82/120)
Return Points Won
32% (38/120)33% (34/104)
Total Points Won
48% (108/224)52% (116/224)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
76% (13/17)82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)24% (4/17)
Total Games Won
47% (16/34)53% (18/34)

Chances of winning


Mackenzie McDonald
52%
Luciano Darderi
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mackenzie McDonald's form might have worsened.
  • Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mackenzie McDonald - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.57)

    1.96
    (2.38)
    5%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Mackenzie McDonald - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Darderi will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mackenzie McDonald will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • McDonald is ranked ATP: 102. Darderi is ranked ATP: 34.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, McDonald won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mackenzie McDonald - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
    28.02.2023 Luciano Darderi - Mackenzie McDonald 0:2
    Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Tsitsipas S. (1)Bye
    2Bu Y.Tseng C. H.2 : 1
    3Navone M.Suresh D. (Q)2 : 0
    4ByeGiron M. (16)
    5Baez S. (10)Bye
    6Nishioka Y.Carreno-Busta P.0 : 2
    7Van De Zandschulp B.Walton A.2 : 1
    8ByeArnaldi M. (6)
    9Diallo G. (4)Bye
    10Collignon R.Basavareddy N. (Q)0 : 2
    11Medjedovic H.Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    12ByeFearnley J. (15)
    13Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)Bye
    14Goffin D.Martinez P.0 : 2
    15Coric B.Blanch Dar. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeMuller A. (8)
    17Borges N. (7)Bye
    18Majchrzak K.Jarry N.2 : 0
    19Ofner S. (PR)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    20ByeKorda S. (11)
    21Kecmanovic M. (13)Bye
    22Kovacevic A.Misolic F.2 : 0
    23McDonald M.Holt B. (WC)2 : 1
    24ByeDarderi L. (3)
    25Sonego L. (5)Bye
    26Dostanic S. (WC)Vukic A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Comesana F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    28ByeMunar J. (12)
    29Bautista-Agut R. (14)Bye
    30Safiullin R.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    31Gaston H.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    32ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Tsitsipas S. (1)Bu Y.0 : 2
    2Navone M.Giron M. (16)2 : 0
    3Baez S. (10)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    4Van De Zandschulp B.Arnaldi M. (6)2 : 0
    5Diallo G. (WO.) (4)Basavareddy N.
    6Medjedovic H.Fearnley J. (15)2 : 0
    7Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)Martinez P.2 : 1
    8Blanch Dar.Muller A. (8)1 : 2
    9Borges N. (7)Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    10Kopriva V.Korda S. (11)0 : 2
    11Kecmanovic M. (13)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    12McDonald M.Darderi L. (3)1 : 2
    13Sonego L. (5)Dostanic S.2 : 1
    14Bellucci M.Munar J. (12)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R. (14)O'Connell C. (RET.)1 : 0
    16Fucsovics M.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Bu Y.Navone M.2 : 0
    2Baez S. (10)Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 2
    3Diallo G. (4)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)Muller A. (8)2 : 0
    5Majchrzak K.Korda S. (11)1 : 2
    6Kecmanovic M. (13)Darderi L. (3)2 : 0
    7Sonego L. (5)Munar J. (12)1 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R. (14)Fucsovics M.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bu Y.Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)0 : 2
    3Korda S. (11)Kecmanovic M. (13)2 : 0
    4Munar J. (12)Fucsovics M.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Van De Zandschulp B.Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)2 : 0
    2Korda S. (11)Fucsovics M. (WO.)

    Final
    1Van De Zandschulp B.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
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