Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luciano Darderi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Umag Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi
Result
0:2
25/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - Semi-finals
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
54
Double Faults
00
1st Serve Percentage
64%55%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (31/45)82% (31/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
60% (15/25)68% (21/31)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)100% (2/2)
1st Return Points Won
18% (7/38)31% (14/45)
2nd Return Points Won
32% (10/31)40% (10/25)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)25% (1/4)
Winners
2320
Unforced Errors
3015
Net Points Won
71% (10/14)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
66% (46/70)75% (52/69)
Return Points Won
25% (17/69)34% (24/70)
Total Points Won
45% (63/139)55% (76/139)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)100% (11/11)
Return Games Won
0% (0/11)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
29.3%
Luciano Darderi
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 66.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.
  • Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.57)

    1.35
    (1.42)
    5.3%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Darderi will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 53.9%93.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 51. Darderi is ranked ATP: 46.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 1.
    • Ugo Carabelli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Darderi is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Darderi is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Darderi will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
    16.05.2024 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi 0:2
    02.05.2024 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi 0:2
    09.11.2023 Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:0
    02.11.2023 Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 1:2
    11.10.2022 Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:1
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Taberner C.Herbert P.2 : 0
    3De Jong J.Poljicak M. (WC)2 : 0
    4Barrios Vera T.Navone M. (5)0 : 2
    5Dzumhur D. (4)Bye
    6Guillen Meza A. (Q)Wawrinka S.0 : 2
    7Droguet T. (Q)Garin C.2 : 0
    8Collignon R.Kopriva V. (8)1 : 2
    9Majchrzak K. (7)Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)0 : 2
    10Lajovic D.Atmane T.0 : 2
    11Dodig M. (WC)Passaro F.1 : 2
    12ByeUgo Carabelli C. (3)
    13Carballes Baena R. (6)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    14Prizmic D. (WC)Moller E.2 : 0
    15Tseng C. H.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Taberner C.1 : 2
    2De Jong J.Navone M. (5)2 : 0
    3Dzumhur D. (4)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Droguet T.Kopriva V. (8)2 : 0
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Atmane T.2 : 0
    6Passaro F.Ugo Carabelli C. (3)1 : 2
    7Basilashvili N.Prizmic D.1 : 2
    8Tseng C. H.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Taberner C.De Jong J.2 : 0
    2Dzumhur D. (4)Droguet T.2 : 1
    3Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.)Ugo Carabelli C. (3)0 : 1
    4Prizmic D.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Taberner C.Dzumhur D. (4)2 : 0
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Taberner C.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play
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