Luca Castelnuovo vs Semen Pankin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
0:2
25/05/2026 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Centurion, hard - 1/16-finals
Luca Castelnuovo - Semen Pankin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
83
Double Faults
63
1st serve percentage
60%51%
1st serve points won
67% (33/49)81% (26/32)
2nd serve points won
52% (17/33)65% (20/31)
Break Points Saved
4/74/5
1st return points won
22% (7/32)33% (16/49)
2nd return points won
35% (11/31)48% (16/33)
Break Points Converted
1/53/7
Winners
1815
Unforced errors
2024
Net points won
58% (7/12)90% (9/10)
Service Points Won
61% (50/82)73% (45/62)
Return Points Won
27% (17/62)39% (32/82)
Total Points Won
47% (67/144)53% (77/144)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
73% (8/11)91% (10/11)
Return games won
9% (1/11)27% (3/11)
Total games won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Luca Castelnuovo
47.8%
Semen Pankin
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Castelnuovo's performance.
  • Semen Pankin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Semen Pankin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Pankin than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Luca Castelnuovo - Semen Pankin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.19)

    1.78
    (1.59)
    7.3%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 344. Pankin is ranked ATP: 518.
    • Castelnuovo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pankin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Pankin might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Pankin will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    03.05.2026 Luca Castelnuovo - Aoran Wang Wang A. Retired
    24.04.2026 Alastair Gray - Luca Castelnuovo Castelnuovo L. Retired
    Latest results of Semen Pankin
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