Luca Castelnuovo vs Pawit Sornlaksup: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ITF M15 Maanshan 3 Men Luca Castelnuovo - Pawit Sornlaksup
Result
2:0
28/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan 3, hard - Final
Luca Castelnuovo - Pawit Sornlaksup - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Luca Castelnuovo
54.1%
Pawit Sornlaksup
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Pawit Sornlaksup has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pawit Sornlaksup than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Luca Castelnuovo - Pawit Sornlaksup Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.68)

    2.02
    (2.13)
    7.7%
    (6.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 668. Sornlaksup is ranked ATP: 633.
    • Castelnuovo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sornlaksup has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sornlaksup may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Castelnuovo will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Latest results of Pawit Sornlaksup
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Samrej K. (1)Cham E.1 : 2
    2Wang X.Chanta T.2 : 1
    3Sun QianTaguchi R.2 : 0
    4Castelnuovo L.Imai S. (5)2 : 0
    5Isomura K. (4)Tang S.2 : 0
    6Ichikawa T.Viiala Z.2 : 1
    7Jin Y.Sinclair C.1 : 2
    8Becroft I.Leong M. W. K. (7)0 : 2
    9Gerasimov E. (6)Xu K. Q.2 : 0
    10Nidunjianzan F.Sim S.0 : 2
    11Ozolins K.Jin J.2 : 0
    12Wang A.Sasikumar M. (3)1 : 2
    13Sornlaksup P. (8)Masabayashi T.2 : 0
    14Zhang T.Xiao L.0 : 2
    15Lu P.Pan W.2 : 0
    16Hazawa S.Shin S. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cham E.Wang X.1 : 2
    2Sun QianCastelnuovo L.0 : 2
    3Isomura K. (4)Ichikawa T.2 : 0
    4Sinclair C.Leong M. W. K. (7)2 : 0
    5Gerasimov E. (6)Sim S.2 : 1
    6Ozolins K.Sasikumar M. (3)2 : 0
    7Sornlaksup P. (8)Xiao L.2 : 0
    8Lu P.Shin S. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Wang X.Castelnuovo L.0 : 2
    2Isomura K. (4)Sinclair C.1 : 2
    3Gerasimov E. (6)Ozolins K.2 : 0
    4Sornlaksup P. (8)Lu P.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Castelnuovo L.Sinclair C.2 : 0
    2Gerasimov E. (6)Sornlaksup P. (8)1 : 2

    Final
    1Castelnuovo L.Sornlaksup P. (8)2 : 0
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