Luca Castagnola vs Tomasz Berkieta: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis M15 Umag Luca Castagnola - Tomasz Berkieta
Result
2:0
02/07/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Umag, clay - 1/8-finals
Luca Castagnola - Tomasz Berkieta - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Last 10 balls
22

Chances of winning


Luca Castagnola
33.7%
Tomasz Berkieta
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 66.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Tomasz Berkieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomasz Berkieta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Luca Castagnola - Tomasz Berkieta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.93)

    1.41
    (1.34)
    7.3%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 21.00
    Preview Facts
    • Castagnola is ranked ATP: 897. Berkieta is ranked ATP: 543.
    • In recent matches, Castagnola has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Berkieta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Castagnola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Berkieta is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Berkieta will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
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