Luca Castagnola vs Pietro Orlando Fellin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Tiburon Challenger Men Luca Castagnola - Pietro Orlando Fellin
Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Luca Castagnola - Pietro Orlando Fellin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
63
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
55%60%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (34/49)66% (35/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (19/40)53% (19/36)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
36% (19/53)33% (16/49)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (17/36)53% (21/40)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
60% (53/89)60% (53/88)
Return Points Won
40% (35/88)40% (36/89)
Total Points Won
50% (88/177)50% (89/177)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Luca Castagnola
40.9%
Pietro Orlando Fellin
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Pietro Orlando Fellin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Luca Castagnola - Pietro Orlando Fellin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.15)

    1.57
    (1.57)
    7.3%
    (10.2%)
    What is the prediction for Luca Castagnola - Pietro Orlando Fellin?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Castagnola (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Castagnola is ranked ATP: 633. Fellin is ranked ATP: 513.
    • Castagnola has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fellin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fellin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Fellin could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rodionov J. (1)Shelbayh A. (SE)0 : 2
    2Perez A.Svajda T. (WC)2 : 0
    3Artnak B. (Q)Tokuda R. (Q)2 : 1
    4Bondioli F. (NG)Popko D. (6)1 : 2
    5Hassan B. (4)Johns G.2 : 0
    6Sekulic P. (PR)Banerjee S. (WC)1 : 2
    7Zink T.Braswell M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Rybakov A.Monday J. (8)1 : 2
    9Mejia N. (5)Martin A.2 : 1
    10Rosenkranz M.Gengel M.2 : 0
    11Jodar R.Ilagan A. (Q)2 : 1
    12Chan D. (WC)Pinnington Jones J. (3)0 : 2
    13Zheng M. (7)Tarvet O. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Wallin O. (Q)Damm M.2 : 1
    15Masur D. (Q)Krueger M.1 : 2
    16Bouzige M.Cassone M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Shelbayh A.Perez A.2 : 1
    2Artnak B.Popko D. (6)0 : 2
    3Hassan B. (4)Banerjee S.0 : 2
    4Zink T.Monday J. (8)2 : 0
    5Mejia N. (5)Rosenkranz M.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Pinnington Jones J. (3)2 : 0
    7Zheng M. (7)Wallin O.2 : 0
    8Krueger M.Cassone M. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Shelbayh A.Popko D. (6)2 : 0
    2Banerjee S.Zink T.1 : 2
    3Mejia N. (5)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Zheng M. (7)Krueger M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Shelbayh A.Zink T.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Zheng M. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Zink T.Zheng M. (7)0 : 2
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