Luca Castagnola vs Nikita Bilozertsev: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Hersonissos 4 Challenger Men Luca Castagnola - Nikita Bilozertsev
Result
2:0
17/08/2025 at 06:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 4 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Luca Castagnola - Nikita Bilozertsev - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
514
1st Serve Percentage
56%47%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (23/33)58% (19/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (14/26)43% (16/37)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
42% (14/33)42% (14/33)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (21/37)46% (12/26)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)40% (2/5)
Winners
1614
Unforced Errors
2640
Net Points Won
55% (11/20)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
61% (34/56)51% (34/67)
Return Points Won
49% (33/67)39% (22/56)
Total Points Won
54% (67/123)46% (56/123)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Luca Castagnola
59.3%
Nikita Bilozertsev
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Nikita Bilozertsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikita Bilozertsev than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikita Bilozertsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Castagnola - Nikita Bilozertsev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.5)

    2.27
    (2.49)
    8.2%
    (6.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castagnola is ranked ATP: 575. Bilozertsev is ranked ATP: 878.
    • In recent matches, Castagnola has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bilozertsev is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Castagnola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Castagnola might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Latest results of Nikita Bilozertsev
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Potenza L. (1)Kountourakis I. (WC)2 : 0
    2Tsitsipas Pe. (RET.) (Alt)Leong M. W. K. (7)0 : 1
    3Wendelken H. (2)Nouchakis G. (WC)2 : 0
    4Nefve A.Raquillet L. (11)1 : 2
    5Broady L. (3)Wallart E.1 : 2
    6Sakellaridis M. (WC)Matsuoka H. (8)0 : 2
    7Fellin P. O. (4)Thomson C. (CO)2 : 0
    8Ivanov S. (Alt)Kimhi O. (10)1 : 2
    9Moroni F. (5)Holban V. (WC)2 : 0
    10Nedelko I.Vales A. (12)0 : 2
    11Castagnola L. (6)Bilozertsev N. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Makk P. (CO)Giunta M. (9)0 : 2

    Final
    1Potenza L. (1)Leong M. W. K. (7)
    2Wendelken H. (2)Raquillet L. (11)
    3Wallart E.Matsuoka H. (8)
    4Fellin P. O. (4)Kimhi O. (10)
    5Moroni F. (5)Vales A. (12)
    6Castagnola L. (6)Giunta M. (9)
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