Lübeck vs Darmstadt: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck).

: DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals
Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	1.85
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
4	8
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
65% (194/298)	81% (461/572)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	1.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.01	2.54
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
4	8
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
5	10
Shots outside the Box
3	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
13	29
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
10	18
Passes
65% (194/298)	81% (461/572)
Long passes
30% (22/73)	59% (50/85)
Passes in final third
55% (42/77)	61% (111/181)
Crosses
0% (0/7)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	1.10
Throw-ins
33	15
Fouls
19	10
Tackles
79% (15/19)	75% (15/20)
Duels won
42	76
Clearances
25	9
Interceptions
15	19
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	3
xGOT faced
2.54	1.01
Goals prevented
0.54	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Thiel M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Maglica M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Vukotic A. 🟨,
63', Verinac A. 🟨,
66', Istefo F. ↓, Lehnfeld M. ↑,
71', Richter M. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
71', Maglica M. ↓, Riedel C. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Hornby F. ⚽, Riedel C. (A),
78', Amadi J. ↓, Karimani D. ↑,
81', Becken P. 🟨,
86', Lidberg I. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
86', Marseiler L. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
86', Polat M. ↓, Shivani R. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Becken P. ⚽, Karimani D. (A),
90+4', Hornby F. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,

Chances of winning

Lübeck
7.7%

Draw
13.8%

Darmstadt
78.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

24.1%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lübeck's form might have worsened.

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darmstadt's recent form is better than expected.

Lübeck - Darmstadt Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.46 ↑ (4.64)	6.91 ↑ (3.9)	1.26 ↓ (1.69)	1.9% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

What is the prediction for Lübeck - Darmstadt?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 41.6% – 98.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lübeck (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.

Preview Facts

Darmstadt is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Darmstadt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Darmstadt is the obvious favorite.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Lübeck won against Darmstadt?

Lübeck has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Lübeck?

Darmstadt has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lübeck - Darmstadt were as follows:

Latest results of Lübeck

08.08.2025 Oldenburg - Lübeck 4:0 ✺

01.08.2025 Meppen - Lübeck 3:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Lübeck - Bremer SV 2:0 ✺

16.05.2025 Lübeck - Werder Bremen II 1:6 ✺

09.05.2025 Oldenburg - Lübeck 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Darmstadt

08.08.2025 Nürnberg - Darmstadt 0:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Darmstadt - Bochum 4:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Hoffenheim - Darmstadt 3:1 ✺

17.07.2025 St. Gallen - Darmstadt 2:4 ✺

09.07.2025 Darmstadt - Notts County 2:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/32-finals

1	Illertissen	Nurnberg	4 : 3
2	Saarbrucken	Magdeburg	1 : 3
3	Cottbus	Hannover	1 : 0
4	Sandhausen	RB Leipzig	2 : 4
5	FC Gutersloh	Union Berlin	0 : 5
6	Arminia Bielefeld	Werder Bremen	1 : 0
7	Bahlinger	Heidenheim	0 : 5
8	Pirmasens	Hamburger SV	1 : 2
9	Delmenhorst	B. Monchengladbach	2 : 3
10	Meuselwitz	Karlsruher SC	0 : 5
11	Preussen Munster	Hertha Berlin	0 : 1
12	Ulm	Elversberg	0 : 1
13	Lohne	Greuther Furth	0 : 2
14	RSV Eintracht	Kaiserslautern	0 : 7
15	Engers	Eintracht Frankfurt	0 : 5
16	RW Essen	Dortmund	0 : 1
17	Lubeck	Darmstadt	1 : 2
18	Lokomotive Leipzig	Schalke	0 : 1
19	Hallescher	Augsburg	0 : 2
20	BFC Dynamo	Bochum	1 : 3
21	Schweinfurt	Dusseldorf	2 : 4
22	Lotte	Freiburg	0 : 2
23	Viktoria Koln	Paderborn	1 : 3
24	Grossaspach	Bayer Leverkusen	0 : 4
25	SG Dynamo Dresden	Mainz	0 : 1
26	Braunschweig	Stuttgart	4 : 5
27	Hemelingen	Wolfsburg	0 : 9
28	FC 08 Homburg	Holstein Kiel	0 : 2
29	Regensburg	FC Koln	1 : 2
30	Wehen	Bayern Munich	2 : 3
31	Norderstedt	St. Pauli	0 : 1
32	Hansa Rostock	Hoffenheim	0 : 4

1/16-finals

1	Illertissen	Magdeburg
2	Cottbus	RB Leipzig
3	Union Berlin	Arminia Bielefeld
4	Heidenheim	Hamburger SV
5	B. Monchengladbach	Karlsruher SC
6	Hertha Berlin	Elversberg
7	Greuther Furth	Kaiserslautern
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	Dortmund
9	Darmstadt	Schalke
10	Augsburg	Bochum
11	Dusseldorf	Freiburg
12	Paderborn	Bayer Leverkusen
13	Mainz	Stuttgart
14	Wolfsburg	Holstein Kiel
15	FC Koln	Bayern Munich
16	St. Pauli	Hoffenheim

Which TV channels are streaming of Lübeck - Darmstadt?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Portugal	DAZN / App
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine