Louisville City vs Minnesota United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer US Open Cup Louisville City - Minnesota United
Result
0:1
07/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
Louisville City - Minnesota United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.43
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
75% (268/357)75% (293/391)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.090.47
Total shots
156
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
716
Passes
75% (268/357)75% (293/391)
Long passes
44% (27/62)30% (25/83)
Passes in final third
63% (78/123)60% (78/131)
Crosses
21% (8/38)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.42
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
167
Tackles
40% (4/10)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5156
Clearances
2744
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.470.09
Goals prevented
-0.530.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Adams K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Davila E. , Lambert K. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Randell A. , Jeong S. (A),
  • 66', Dia A. , Morris J. ,
  • 66', Perez A. , Wilson J. ,
  • 67', Randell A. , Mesanvi L. ,
  • 67', Gressel J. , Fischer B. ,
  • 73', Morris J. 🟨,
  • 76', Morris J. , Cano I. ,
  • 79', Shashoua S. , Niang B. ,
  • 84', Lambert K. 🟨,
  • 85', Perez E. , Jones J. ,
  • 90+2', Jeong S. , Hille L. ,
  • 90+4', Fischer B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', McFadden A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Louisville City
41.3%
Draw
27.4%
Minnesota United
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 27.4% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 28.9% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.
  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minnesota United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Louisville City - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (3.18)
    3.41
    (3.31)
    2.93
    (2.06)
    6.4%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Louisville City - Minnesota United?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Louisville City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Minnesota has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Louisville City
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Draw
    2025

    1/128-finals
    1Tacoma DefianceWashington AC3 : 1
    2BallardSpokane Velocity0 : 1
    4ByeOakland Roots
    8ByePortland Timbers
    9Sacramento RepublicBye
    11Monterey BayInternational SF4 : 0
    12Real MonarchsEl Farolito1 : 3
    16ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    17Colorado SpringsBye
    19Asheville CityGreenville0 : 1
    20AppalachianOne Knoxville0 : 3
    24ByeNew York Red Bulls
    25FC DallasBye
    29AV AltaVentura3 : 1
    30Los Angeles FC IIArizona FC7 : 1
    32ByeOrange County SC
    33Forward MadisonDuluth FC5 : 1
    34Tulsa AthleticFC Tulsa0 : 1
    36ByePhoenix Rising
    40ByeHouston Dynamo
    41Austin FCBye
    45New MexicoBye
    47Ventura CountyLaguna United7 : 0
    48El PasoHarpos5 : 1
    49Louisville CityBye
    51West Chester UtdLoudoun2 : 3
    52Richmond KickersVirginia Dream1 : 3
    56ByeMinnesota United
    57St. Louis CityBye
    61Sporting Kansas City IIMenace1 : 2
    62FlatironsUnion Omaha1 : 2
    64ByeSan Antonio
    65Sarasota ParadiseFC Naples1 : 2
    66Little Rock RangersBirmingham1 : 0
    68ByeTampa Bay
    72ByeOrlando City
    73Nashville SCBye
    77Las Vegas LightsBye
    79ChattanoogaCorpus Christi FC1 : 0
    80New Jersey AllianceChattanooga Red Wolves2 : 3
    81Long IslandCharlotte Independ.2 : 3
    82Carolina CoreSoda City4 : 2
    84ByeNorth Carolina
    88ByeCharlotte
    89DC UnitedBye
    93CharlestonBye
    95TormentaHarbor City3 : 0
    96TexomaForo1 : 2
    97Philadelphia UnionBye
    101Indy ElevenBye
    103Inter Miami IIMiami United4 : 2
    104Miami FCNaples United4 : 1
    105Columbus Crew 2NY Renegades4 : 1
    106LexingtonSouthern Indiana5 : 0
    108ByePittsburgh
    112ByeNew York City
    113Hartford AthleticNew York Shockers3 : 0
    114Portland Hearts of PineFaialense4 : 0
    116ByeRhode Island
    120ByeNew England Revolution
    121Chicago FireBye
    125DetroitBye
    127MotownWestchester SC
    128Cincinnati 2New York Pancyprian0 : 1

    1/64-finals
    1Tacoma DefianceSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    2ByeOakland Roots
    4ByePortland Timbers
    5Sacramento RepublicBye
    6Monterey BayEl Farolito1 : 2
    8ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    9Colorado SpringsBye
    10GreenvilleOne Knoxville1 : 3
    12ByeNew York Red Bulls
    13FC DallasBye
    15AV AltaLos Angeles FC II2 : 1
    16ByeOrange County SC
    17Forward MadisonFC Tulsa1 : 3
    18ByePhoenix Rising
    20ByeHouston Dynamo
    21Austin FCBye
    23New MexicoBye
    24Ventura CountyEl Paso0 : 3
    25Louisville CityBye
    26LoudounVirginia Dream4 : 2
    28ByeMinnesota United
    29St. Louis CityBye
    31MenaceUnion Omaha1 : 2
    32ByeSan Antonio
    33FC NaplesLittle Rock Rangers3 : 0
    34ByeTampa Bay
    36ByeOrlando City
    37Nashville SCBye
    39Las Vegas LightsBye
    40ChattanoogaChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 2
    41Charlotte Independ.Carolina Core2 : 1
    42ByeNorth Carolina
    44ByeCharlotte
    45DC UnitedBye
    47CharlestonBye
    48TormentaForo3 : 2
    49Philadelphia UnionBye
    51Indy ElevenBye
    52Inter Miami IIMiami FC0 : 1
    53Columbus Crew 2Lexington3 : 0
    54ByePittsburgh
    56ByeNew York City
    57Hartford AthleticPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 2
    58ByeRhode Island
    60ByeNew England Revolution
    61Chicago FireBye
    63DetroitBye
    64Westchester SCNew York Pancyprian3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Tacoma DefianceOakland Roots2 : 1
    2ByePortland Timbers
    3Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito1 : 0
    4ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    5Colorado SpringsOne Knoxville3 : 2
    6ByeNew York Red Bulls
    7FC DallasBye
    8AV AltaOrange County SC3 : 2
    9FC TulsaPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    10ByeHouston Dynamo
    11Austin FCBye
    12New MexicoEl Paso2 : 3
    13Louisville CityLoudoun2 : 1
    14ByeMinnesota United
    15St. Louis CityBye
    16Union OmahaSan Antonio1 : 0
    17FC NaplesTampa Bay1 : 2
    18ByeOrlando City
    19Nashville SCBye
    20Las Vegas LightsChattanooga Red Wolves2 : 3
    21Charlotte Independ.North Carolina1 : 3
    22ByeCharlotte
    23DC UnitedBye
    24CharlestonTormenta4 : 0
    25Philadelphia UnionBye
    26Indy ElevenMiami FC1 : 0
    27Columbus Crew 2Pittsburgh0 : 1
    28ByeNew York City
    29Portland Hearts of PineRhode Island1 : 2
    30ByeNew England Revolution
    31Chicago FireBye
    32DetroitWestchester SC3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Tacoma DefiancePortland Timbers2 : 3
    2Sacramento RepublicSan Jose Earthquakes1 : 2
    3Colorado SpringsNew York Red Bulls1 : 4
    4FC DallasAV Alta3 : 1
    5Phoenix RisingHouston Dynamo1 : 4
    6Austin FCEl Paso3 : 2
    7Louisville CityMinnesota United0 : 1
    8St. Louis CityUnion Omaha2 : 0
    9Tampa BayOrlando City0 : 5
    10Nashville SCChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    11North CarolinaCharlotte1 : 4
    12DC UnitedCharleston2 : 0
    13Philadelphia UnionIndy Eleven2 : 1
    14PittsburghNew York City1 : 0
    15Rhode IslandNew England Revolution1 : 2
    16Chicago FireDetroit4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
    2New York Red BullsFC Dallas
    3Houston DynamoAustin FC
    4Minnesota UnitedSt. Louis City
    5Orlando CityNashville SC
    6CharlotteDC United
    7Philadelphia UnionPittsburgh
    8New England RevolutionChicago Fire
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