Result
1:4
25/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (516/596) | 61% (115/189) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (516/596) | 61% (115/189) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (44/70) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (168/212) | 52% (46/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Moguel C. ⚽,
- 32', Cruz D. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
- 40', Totsch S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Leerman Y. 🟥,
- 45+1', Dia A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Karamoko H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Karamoko H. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
- 50', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
- 54', Ryan Z. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, McCabe T. (Own goal),
- 59', Martin R. 🟥,
- 60', Moguel C. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
- 60', Adams K. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 69', Tingey K. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
- 69', Skundrich D. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
- 69', Dambrot R. 🟨,
- 76', Gleadle S. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
- 76', McCabe T. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑,
- 76', Awuah K. ↓, Erlandson J. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Wilson J. ⚽, Morris J. (A),
- 87', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 4, Serrano R. ⚽, Wilson J. (A),
Chances of winning
Loudoun United
31.1% | Draw
26.5% | Louisville City
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Loudoun United - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.57) |
3.47 ↓
(3.65) |
2.17 ↓
(2.34) |
8.7%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Louisville City could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Louisville City?
Loudoun United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Loudoun United?
Louisville City has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Louisville City were as follows:
31.05.2025
Loudoun United
-
Louisville City
2:1
15.04.2025
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
2:1
22.03.2025
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
2:0
06.09.2024
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
1:0
20.04.2024
Loudoun United
-
Louisville City
0:1
Latest results of Loudoun United
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 29:12 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Charleston | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 32:15 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 23 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 12:12 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 | Detroit | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 20 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 20:24 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 | Tampa Bay | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | -6 | 9 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New Mexico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21:15 | 6 | 25 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 24 |
| 3 | El Paso | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:22 | 2 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Monterey Bay | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Las Vegas Lights | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Lexington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Colorado Springs | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Oakland Roots | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:23 | -9 | 14 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Loudoun United - Louisville City?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
