Louisville City vs Lexington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Louisville City - Lexington
Result
2:0
01/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Louisville City - Lexington - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.79
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
77% (237/306)79% (326/415)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.46
Total shots
169
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
810
Passes
77% (237/306)79% (326/415)
Long passes
34% (14/41)33% (18/55)
Passes in final third
67% (72/108)55% (44/80)
Crosses
21% (5/24)63% (5/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.51
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
108
Tackles
83% (10/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3242
Clearances
2025
Interceptions
90
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.460.57
Goals prevented
0.46-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Burke C. , Lancaster C. ,
  • 50', Ajago F. 🟥,
  • 50', Adams K. 🟨,
  • 52', McFadden A. 🟨,
  • 55', Sargeant K. 🟨,
  • 58', Gleadle S. , Goodrum P. ,
  • 59', Perez E. , Morris J. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Gilbert G. (Own goal),
  • 72', Davila E. , Lambert K. ,
  • 72', Nick Firmino , Greene J. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Goodrum P. , Wilson J. (A),
  • 83', Williams D. , Goldthorp E. ,
  • 87', McFadden A. , Dia A. ,
  • 87', Wilson J. , Perez A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
61.7%
Draw
20.9%
Lexington
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 19.9% 10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2% 18.7% 9.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Louisville City's form might have worsened.
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Louisville City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Louisville City - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.33)
    4.45
    (4.66)
    5.34
    (8.94)
    7.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Louisville City - Lexington?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • Louisville City has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lexington is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
    • In this match, Louisville City is the certain favorite.
    • We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Louisville City
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Loudoun860213:7618
    2Louisville City752012:4817
    3Charleston750215:9615
    4Detroit843113:9415
    5North Carolina832310:9111
    6Pittsburgh72146:9-37
    7Miami FC72147:11-47
    8Indy Eleven613211:12-16
    9Birmingham71339:12-36
    10Rhode Island61235:8-35
    11Tampa Bay71157:11-44
    12Hartford Athletic61054:11-73


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio851213:9416
    2New Mexico75028:7115
    3Monterey Bay943212:7515
    4FC Tulsa74039:6312
    5El Paso833215:13212
    6Las Vegas Lights73226:7-111
    7Orange County SC731310:12-210
    8Sacramento Republic72329:909
    9Oakland Roots82159:14-57
    10Colorado Springs814313:15-27
    11Lexington81438:10-27
    12Phoenix Rising814314:17-37

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Louisville City - Lexington?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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