Louisville City vs Lexington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Louisville City - Lexington
Result
2:0
01/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Louisville City - Lexington - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.79
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
77% (237/306)79% (326/415)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.46
Total shots
169
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
810
Passes
77% (237/306)79% (326/415)
Long passes
34% (14/41)33% (18/55)
Passes in final third
67% (72/108)55% (44/80)
Crosses
21% (5/24)63% (5/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.51
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
108
Tackles
83% (10/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3242
Clearances
2025
Interceptions
90
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.460.57
Goals prevented
0.46-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Burke C. , Lancaster C. ,
  • 50', Ajago F. 🟥,
  • 50', Adams K. 🟨,
  • 52', McFadden A. 🟨,
  • 55', Sargeant K. 🟨,
  • 58', Gleadle S. , Goodrum P. ,
  • 59', Perez E. , Morris J. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Gilbert G. (Own goal),
  • 72', Davila E. , Lambert K. ,
  • 72', Nick Firmino , Greene J. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Goodrum P. , Wilson J. (A),
  • 83', Williams D. , Goldthorp E. ,
  • 87', McFadden A. , Dia A. ,
  • 87', Wilson J. , Perez A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
61.7%
Draw
20.9%
Lexington
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 19.9% 10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2% 18.7% 9.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Louisville City's form might have worsened.
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Louisville City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Louisville City - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.33)
    4.45
    (4.66)
    5.34
    (8.94)
    7.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • Louisville City has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lexington is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
    • In this match, Louisville City is the certain favorite.
    • We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Louisville City
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City1394023:91431
    2Charleston1291228:131528
    3Loudoun1281323:131025
    4North Carolina1262417:13420
    5Detroit1345417:18-117
    6Rhode Island1343613:14-115
    7Pittsburgh124269:11-214
    8Indy Eleven1135319:20-114
    9Miami FC1141612:16-413
    10Birmingham1224614:20-610
    11Tampa Bay1222812:21-98
    12Hartford Athletic1113710:19-96


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1271417:12522
    2FC Tulsa1263315:9621
    3San Antonio1363418:16221
    4Phoenix Rising1355323:20320
    5El Paso1355321:19220
    6Monterey Bay1454515:15019
    7Orange County SC1251617:20-316
    8Las Vegas Lights134369:18-915
    9Colorado Springs1336417:19-215
    10Sacramento Republic1135315:11414
    11Oakland Roots1332813:23-1011
    12Lexington1325613:21-811

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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