Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Hartford Athletic - Louisville City
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)
Hartford Athletic - Louisville City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.13
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
75% (280/371)77% (248/324)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.140.85
Total shots
611
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
75% (280/371)77% (248/324)
Long passes
38% (27/71)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
50% (39/78)67% (70/105)
Crosses
33% (6/18)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.79
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
1319
Tackles
89% (8/9)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5657
Clearances
2333
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.850.14
Goals prevented
-0.22-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 37', Anderson S. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Goodrum P. , Perez E. (A),
  • 45', Obalola A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Ordonez A. 🟨,
  • 58', Perez A. , Davila E. ,
  • 60', Hairston M. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 62', Dieng M. 🟨,
  • 66', Obalola A. 🟨,
  • 69', Lambert K. 🟨,
  • 71', Careaga S. , Beckford D. ,
  • 73', Lambert K. , Serrano R. ,
  • 73', Ordonez A. , Jones J. ,
  • 73', Dia A. , McFadden A. ,
  • 78', Presthus T. , Edwards K. ,
  • 85', Goodrum P. , Wilson J. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Edwards K. , Anderson S. (A),
  • 90+1', Siaha A. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Hartford Athletic
21.6%
Draw
25.4%
Louisville City
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.3% 22.8% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9% 22.1% 66%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.
  • Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louisville City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartford Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louisville City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hartford Athletic - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.31
    (6.99)
    3.66
    (4.07)
    1.75
    (1.45)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1.
    • In recent matches, Hartford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Louisville City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Louisville City is the team to beat.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Louisville City were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 2:1
    27.04.2024 Louisville City - Hartford Athletic 6:0
    07.10.2023 Louisville City - Hartford Athletic 1:1
    03.06.2023 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 0:0
    15.10.2022 Louisville City - Hartford Athletic 2:1
    Latest results of Hartford Athletic
    Latest results of Louisville City
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City1284019:71228
    2Charleston1181226:121425
    3Loudoun1171320:11922
    4North Carolina1162316:11520
    5Detroit1245315:15017
    6Pittsburgh114259:10-114
    7Miami FC1041511:14-313
    8Rhode Island1233611:13-212
    9Indy Eleven1025318:20-211
    10Birmingham1124512:16-410
    11Hartford Athletic101369:17-86
    12Tampa Bay1112810:20-105


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1171316:10622
    2FC Tulsa1162314:8620
    3San Antonio1262418:16220
    4El Paso1255221:16520
    5Phoenix Rising1254322:19319
    6Monterey Bay1354415:13219
    7Orange County SC1141614:20-613
    8Sacramento Republic1034315:11413
    9Las Vegas Lights123367:18-1112
    10Colorado Springs1226416:19-312
    11Oakland Roots1232713:22-911
    12Lexington1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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