Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Louisville City - Birmingham Legion
Result
4:2
14/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Louisville City - Birmingham Legion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.28
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
69% (212/306)82% (393/482)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.28
xG on target (xGOT)
3.080.75
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
69% (212/306)82% (393/482)
Long passes
37% (21/57)53% (40/75)
Passes in final third
54% (56/103)70% (79/113)
Crosses
50% (8/16)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.30
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
1213
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (3/6)
Duels won
5539
Clearances
2035
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.753.08
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Damus R. , Laszo E. (A),
  • 19', Centeno E. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Dia A. , Serrano R. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. , Davila T. (A),
  • 44', 3 - 1, Goodrum P. , Davila T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Preston T. 🟨,
  • 58', 4 - 1, Goodrum P. , Davila T. (A),
  • 60', Preston T. , Trejo D. ,
  • 65', Dia A. , McFadden A. ,
  • 66', Goodrum P. , Gleadle S. ,
  • 66', Perez E. , Morris J. ,
  • 67', Centeno E. , Tregarthen S. ,
  • 67', Suarez S. , Paterson AJ ,
  • 68', Gleadle S. 🟨,
  • 76', Wilson J. , Perez A. ,
  • 78', Turnbull S. , Hamouda R. ,
  • 78', Laszo E. , McIllhatton S. ,
  • 82', Davila T. , Moguel C. ,
  • 90', 4 - 2, Moguel C. (Own goal),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
65.4%
Draw
20.3%
Birmingham Legion
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24.7% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23.7% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.
  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Louisville City - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.57)
    4.56
    (3.6)
    6.49
    (4.75)
    7.9%
    (12.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Louisville City - Birmingham Legion?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Louisville City will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.
    • Louisville City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Louisville City is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Birmingham Legion - Louisville City 1:4
    30.03.2024 Louisville City - Birmingham Legion 5:0
    19.08.2023 Birmingham Legion - Louisville City 2:0
    22.07.2023 Louisville City - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    Latest results of Louisville City
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City15104128:121634
    2Charleston15102332:151732
    3Loudoun1481524:20425
    4North Carolina1372419:14523
    5Detroit1455419:18120
    6Pittsburgh1352611:12-117
    7Miami FC1351713:18-516
    8Rhode Island1443713:16-315
    9Indy Eleven1335520:24-414
    10Birmingham1535715:21-614
    11Tampa Bay1432916:24-811
    12Hartford Athletic1223713:19-69


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1381421:14725
    2El Paso1465323:20323
    3FC Tulsa1263315:9621
    4San Antonio1463520:20021
    5Phoenix Rising1455424:24020
    6Monterey Bay1554616:17-119
    7Las Vegas Lights1453610:18-818
    8Sacramento Republic1345417:12517
    9Orange County SC1251617:20-316
    10Colorado Springs1436518:21-315
    11Oakland Roots1442814:23-914
    12Lexington1435615:22-714

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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