Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Los Chankas - FBC Melgar
Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
Los Chankas - FBC Melgar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.29
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
79% (293/373)78% (281/359)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.85
Total shots
127
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
79% (293/373)78% (281/359)
Long passes
42% (29/69)41% (30/73)
Passes in final third
55% (54/99)63% (59/94)
Crosses
26% (6/23)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.74
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
1810
Tackles
85% (11/13)78% (14/18)
Duels won
5061
Clearances
2228
Interceptions
816
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.851.26
Goals prevented
-0.150.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Arias A. 🟨,
  • 17', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Castro F. , Gonzalez L. (A),
  • 37', Ramos E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Quiroz A. , Takeuchi O. ,
  • 46', Bueno P. , Camargo I. ,
  • 57', Rodriguez G. , Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ,
  • 71', Arias A. , Bernaola G. ,
  • 73', Torres F. , Sanchez K. ,
  • 78', Martinez T. , Guzman L. ,
  • 80', Castro F. , Liza P. ,
  • 80', Velarde C. , Palomino J. ,
  • 80', Torres S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Camargo I. ,

Chances of winning


Los Chankas
25.1%
Draw
27.6%
FBC Melgar
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.6% 25.4% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9% 24.5% 55.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Chankas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Los Chankas - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.7
    (4.39)
    3.4
    (3.55)
    1.98
    (1.67)
    7%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Los Chankas - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Melgar will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Los Chankas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Los Chankas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    15.09.2024 FBC Melgar - Los Chankas 2:0
    06.04.2024 Los Chankas - FBC Melgar 2:2
    Latest results of Los Chankas
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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