Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Los Chankas - FBC Melgar
Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
Los Chankas - FBC Melgar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.29
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
79% (293/373)78% (281/359)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.85
Total shots
127
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
79% (293/373)78% (281/359)
Long passes
42% (29/69)41% (30/73)
Passes in final third
55% (54/99)63% (59/94)
Crosses
26% (6/23)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.74
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
1810
Tackles
85% (11/13)78% (14/18)
Duels won
5061
Clearances
2228
Interceptions
816
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.851.26
Goals prevented
-0.150.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Arias A. 🟨,
  • 17', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Castro F. , Gonzalez L. (A),
  • 37', Ramos E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Quiroz A. , Takeuchi O. ,
  • 46', Bueno P. , Camargo I. ,
  • 57', Rodriguez G. , Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ,
  • 71', Arias A. , Bernaola G. ,
  • 73', Torres F. , Sanchez K. ,
  • 78', Martinez T. , Guzman L. ,
  • 80', Castro F. , Liza P. ,
  • 80', Velarde C. , Palomino J. ,
  • 80', Torres S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Camargo I. ,

Chances of winning


Los Chankas
25.1%
Draw
27.6%
FBC Melgar
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.6% 25.4% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9% 24.5% 55.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Chankas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Los Chankas - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.7
    (4.39)
    3.4
    (3.55)
    1.98
    (1.67)
    7%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Los Chankas - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Melgar will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Los Chankas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Los Chankas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    15.09.2024 FBC Melgar - Los Chankas 2:0
    06.04.2024 Los Chankas - FBC Melgar 2:2
    Latest results of Los Chankas
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1786327:19830
    5Sport Huancayo1793523:18530
    6Cusco1684429:191028
    7Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1757524:25-122
    11AD Tarma1756623:30-721
    12Sport Boys1655625:25020
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1753917:34-1718
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1644819:26-716
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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