Toluca vs Los Angeles: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
4:0
06/05/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : CONCACAF Champions Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Lopez W. (Gtm)
Toluca - Los Angeles - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.821.25
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
315
Shots on target
151
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
32
Passes
90% (458/511)74% (207/281)
Yellow cards
11
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
3.821.25
xG on target (xGOT)
4.170.23
Total shots
315
Shots on target
151
Shots off target
134
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
135
Shots outside the box
180
Hit the woodwork
30
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
3310
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free kicks
79
Passes
90% (458/511)74% (207/281)
Long passes
56% (33/59)48% (25/52)
Passes in final third
82% (175/214)51% (32/63)
Crosses
11% (2/18)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.33
Throw ins
2922
Fouls
97
Tackles
57% (8/14)65% (13/20)
Duels won
3543
Clearances
1117
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
111
xGOT faced
0.234.17
Goals prevented
0.230.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Porteous R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Shaffelburg J. , Hollingshead R. ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Helinho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 58', 2 - 0, del Villar E. ,
  • 59', Choiniere M. , Eustaquio S. ,
  • 59', Castro N. 🟨,
  • 59', Tillman T. , Martinez D. ,
  • 74', Isais M. , Barbosa D. ,
  • 76', Palencia S. , Smolyakov A. ,
  • 77', Long A. , Ebobisse J. ,
  • 82', Angulo J. , Perez P. ,
  • 82', Helinho , Arce F. ,
  • 86', Porteous R. 🟥,
  • 90+2', Castro N. , Briseno A. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 0, Paulinho , Perez P. (A),
  • 90+4', 4 - 0, Paulinho , Perez P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toluca
65.5%
Draw
19.9%
Los Angeles
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 21.7% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4% 21.9% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Toluca - Los Angeles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.43)
    4.7
    (4.35)
    6.32
    (7.6)
    7.1%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Toluca - Los Angeles?
    • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH -1.5 - Los Angeles (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • TQ, OT - Los Angeles (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 2 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-2.
    • Toluca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Los Angeles has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Toluca is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toluca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Los Angeles were as follows:
    29.04.2026 Los Angeles - Toluca 2:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    03.05.2026 Toluca - Pachuca 0:1
    29.04.2026 Los Angeles - Toluca 2:1
    25.04.2026 Toluca - Club León 4:1
    22.04.2026 Mazatlan - Toluca 4:3
    18.04.2026 Club América - Toluca 2:1
    Latest results of Los Angeles
    Which TV channels are streaming of Toluca - Los Angeles?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    canadaCanadaOneSoccer
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    germanyGermanySportdigital1+
    haitiHaitiTele Haiti
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    mexicoMexicoFOX+, FOX One
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
    portugalPortugalSport TV4
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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