Los Angeles Galaxy vs Cruz Azul: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer CONCACAF League Cup Los Angeles Galaxy - Cruz Azul
Result
1:2 penalties
03/08/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Leagues Cup - Round 2
Los Angeles Galaxy - Cruz Azul - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.46
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
420
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
82% (331/406)87% (425/489)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.61
Total shots
420
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
09
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
1224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
82% (331/406)87% (425/489)
Long passes
40% (18/45)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
65% (49/75)66% (59/90)
Crosses
25% (1/4)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.37
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1413
Tackles
68% (13/19)65% (15/23)
Duels won
5053
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.611.00
Goals prevented
0.610.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Reus M. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Rodriguez C. , Rotondi C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sanabria L. , Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 47', Rivero I. 🟨,
  • 65', Paradela J. , Romero L. ,
  • 66', Yamane M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 70', Paintsil J. 🟨,
  • 70', Lira E. 🟨,
  • 72', Fagundez D. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Gabriel Pec , Cuevas M. (A),
  • 82', Bogusz M. , Marquez J. ,
  • 82', Faravelli L. , Orozco J. ,
  • 82', Sepulveda A. , Levy M. ,
  • 84', Marquez J. 🟨,
  • 85', Aude J. , Nelson J. ,
  • 85', Rotondi C. , Campos O. ,
  • 90', Zanka , Yoshida M. ,
  • 90+1', Yoshida M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Garces C. 🟨,
  • Penalties (7 - 8)
  • 1, Reus M. (Pen),
  • 1, Lira E. (Pen),
  • 2, Gabriel Pec (Pen),
  • 2, Rivero I. (Pen),
  • 3, Matheus Nascimento (Pen),
  • 3, Piovi G. (Pen),
  • 4, Fagundez D. (Pen),
  • 4, Rodriguez C. (Pen),
  • 5, Paintsil J. (Pen),
  • 5, Ditta W. (Pen),
  • 6, Cuevas M. (Pen),
  • 6, Marquez J. (Pen),
  • 7, Nelson J. (Pen),
  • 7, Romero L. (Pen),
  • 8, Cerrillo E. (Pen),
  • 8, Orozco J. (Pen),
  • 9, Garces C. (Pen),
  • 9, Levy M. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Galaxy
34.3%
Draw
24.1%
Cruz Azul
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 25.7% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 25.3% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy - Cruz Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.53)
    3.86
    (3.66)
    2.24
    (2.51)
    7.2%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Cruz Azul?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Los Angeles Galaxy will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • LA Galaxy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cruz Azul has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cruz Azul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, LA Galaxy has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, LA Galaxy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    26.07.2025 Cruz Azul - Club León 4:1
    19.07.2025 Atlas - Cruz Azul 3:3
    12.07.2025 Cruz Azul - Mazatlan 0:0
    06.07.2025 Mazatlan - Cruz Azul 2:1
    CONCACAF League Cup Table
    Main

    Liga MX
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Toluca321006:48
    2Pachuca320106:47
    3Tigres UANL320017:46
    4Puebla320016:46
    5Juarez311107:46
    6Guadalajara Chivas311014:45
    7Mazatlan FC311013:35
    8UNAM Pumas311015:65
    9Atl. San Luis311014:65
    10Club America302106:65
    11Necaxa310116:84
    12Cruz Azul302013:104
    13Club Tijuana310025:83
    14Monterrey301023:62
    15Club Leon300121:41
    16Queretaro300031:60
    17Atlas300033:90
    18Santos Laguna300032:80


    MLS
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Seattle Sounders3300011:29
    2Inter Miami321007:48
    3Los Angeles Galaxy3201010:37
    4Orlando City320109:37
    5Portland Timbers320106:17
    6Columbus Crew320106:37
    7Real Salt Lake311105:46
    8Los Angeles FC311104:36
    9New York Red Bulls311103:26
    10Minnesota United310117:64
    11FC Cincinnati310116:64
    12Colorado Rapids310115:54
    13Charlotte310115:64
    14Atlanta Utd310027:73
    15San Diego FC310025:53
    16New York City310023:53
    17CF Montreal301023:52
    18Houston Dynamo300032:80

          Promotion ~ Leagues Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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