Lorient vs Lille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lorient - Lille
Result
1:7
30/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 3
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
Lorient - Lille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Lorient - Lille live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.97
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
620
Shots on target
211
Big Chances
38
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
84% (305/364)87% (467/537)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.624.30
Total shots
620
Shots on target
211
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
515
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
38
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1234
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
84% (305/364)87% (467/537)
Long passes
51% (19/37)57% (17/30)
Passes in final third
79% (73/92)74% (120/163)
Crosses
7% (1/14)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.241.22
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
1418
Tackles
58% (7/12)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4345
Clearances
2210
Interceptions
1710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
4.301.62
Goals prevented
-2.700.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Katseris P. , Mvuka Mugisha J. ,
  • 28', Avom A. 🟨,
  • 37', Faye A. 🟨,
  • 40', Fernandez-Pardo M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 7)
  • 46', Broholm M. , Igamane H. ,
  • 46', 0 - 1, Perraud R. , Correia F. (A),
  • 53', 0 - 2, Fernandez-Pardo M. , Correia F. (A),
  • 59', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 64', Soumano S. (Pen),
  • 64', 1 - 2, Tosin A. , Soumano S. (A),
  • 68', Tosin A. , Cadiou N. ,
  • 68', Soumano S. , Bamba M. ,
  • 69', Perraud R. 🟨,
  • 73', Abergel L. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Fernandez-Pardo M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 4, Igamane H. ,
  • 82', Avom A. , Le Bris T. ,
  • 82', Kouassi A. , Yongwa D. ,
  • 82', Correia F. , Bentaleb N. ,
  • 85', Fernandez-Pardo M. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 85', Meunier T. , Mandi A. ,
  • 87', 1 - 5, Haraldsson H. , Perraud R. (A),
  • 88', Bouaddi A. , Raghouber U. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 6, Igamane H. , Andre B. (A),
  • 90+5', 1 - 7, Sahraoui O. , Ozer B. (A),

Chances of winning


Lorient
14.6%
Draw
23%
Lille
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 27.5% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 27.6% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorient's form might have worsened.
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lille's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-19.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lorient - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.43
    (3.27)
    5.73
    (3.48)
    1.97
    (2.21)
    -21.3%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lorient - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Lille will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 28.1%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Lorient has had a series of away games.
    • Lille will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Pagis P. (Calf Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Gomes A. (Injury) Mbappe E. (Hamstring Injury) Mukau N. (Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Sahraoui O. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:37. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Lille were as follows:
    14.01.2024 Lille - Lorient 3:0
    27.08.2023 Lorient - Lille 4:1
    02.04.2023 Lille - Lorient 3:1
    02.10.2022 Lorient - Lille 2:1
    Latest results of Lorient
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0
    09.08.2025 Angers - Lorient 1:0
    02.08.2025 Swansea City - Lorient 1:3
    26.07.2025 Guingamp - Lorient 1:1
    Latest results of Lille
    24.08.2025 Lille - Monaco 1:0
    17.08.2025 Brest - Lille 3:3
    09.08.2025 West Ham United - Lille 1:1
    06.08.2025 Lille - Venezia 3:0
    02.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 3:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG33008:359
    2Lyon33005:059
    3Lille321011:477
    4Monaco32016:426
    5Lens32015:326
    6Strasbourg32014:316
    7Toulouse32016:606
    8Angers31112:204
    9Rennes31112:5-34
    10Marseille31025:413
    11Le Havre31025:6-13
    12Nice31024:5-13
    13Nantes31021:2-13
    14Auxerre31022:4-23
    15Lorient31025:8-33
    16Paris FC31025:8-33
    17Brest30124:8-41
    18Metz30032:7-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lorient - Lille?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
    israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
    maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan