Ajaccio vs Lorient: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Ajaccio - Lorient
Result
2:1
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 33
  • Referee: Thual O. (Fra)
Ajaccio - Lorient - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Ajaccio - Lorient live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.12
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
619
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
71% (215/302)86% (517/599)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.98
Total shots
619
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
920
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
118
Passes
71% (215/302)86% (517/599)
Long passes
37% (27/73)29% (10/34)
Passes in final third
54% (25/46)70% (117/166)
Crosses
20% (1/5)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.95
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
811
Tackles
63% (12/19)63% (5/8)
Duels won
4951
Clearances
256
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.981.07
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Anziani J. , Strata T. (A),
  • 42', Mendy F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tosin A. , Kroupi E. J. ,
  • 63', Ponceau J. , Pagis P. ,
  • 63', Makengo J. , Avom A. ,
  • 63', Soumano S. , Bamba M. ,
  • 66', Huard M. , Ayessa J. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Toure B. , Kouassi A. (A),
  • 70', Mvuka Mugisha J. , Diarra S. ,
  • 71', Toure B. , Kante A. ,
  • 72', Mangani T. , Junior Pereira da Silva E. ,
  • 80', Kalulu G. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Pagis P. , Bamba M. (A),
  • 89', Ayessa J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bamba M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mw3f7hsm

Chances of winning


Ajaccio 15.8%Draw 23.1%Lorient 61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Ajaccio 15.6%Draw 23.1%Lorient 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Ajaccio 15.3%Draw 22.6%Lorient 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Ajaccio - Lorient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.94
    (5.93)
    4.07
    (4)
    1.54
    (1.51)
    6.5%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Lorient?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • Lorient is Qualified for Ligue 1
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajaccio won 1.
    • In recent matches, Ajaccio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lorient is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Lorient is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Junior Pereira da Silva E. (Injury) Soumano M. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury) Youssouf M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Igor Silva (Yellow Cards) Katseris P. (Hip Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ajaccio won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajaccio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Lorient were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Lorient - Ajaccio 3:0
    19.02.2023 Lorient - Ajaccio 3:0
    04.09.2022 Ajaccio - Lorient 0:1
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    25.04.2025 Annecy - Ajaccio 2:0
    18.04.2025 Ajaccio - Pau 1:1
    11.04.2025 Troyes - Ajaccio 0:0
    04.04.2025 Ajaccio - Amiens 2:1
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    Latest results of Lorient
    26.04.2025 Lorient - Caen 4:0
    21.04.2025 Annecy - Lorient 0:0
    12.04.2025 Guingamp - Lorient 1:2
    05.04.2025 Lorient - Pau 5:0
    29.03.2025 Grenoble - Lorient 1:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lorient ✔ 33215763:303368
    2Paris FC ✔ 33206753:332066
    3Metz ✔ 331711561:322962
    4Dunkerque ✔ 331741246:39755
    5Guingamp331641354:441052
    6Laval331481142:35750
    7Annecy331391139:42-348
    8Grenoble331371342:41146
    9Bastia331015841:36545
    10Amiens331341638:49-1143
    11AC Ajaccio331261530:40-1042
    12Pau FC3310121138:50-1242
    13Troyes331251635:34141
    14Rodez339111355:53238
    15Red Star339101436:50-1437
    16Clermont337111529:45-1632
    17Martigues33951928:51-2332
    18Caen ✔ 33572130:56-2622

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lorient is Qualified for Ligue 1
    Paris FC is Qualified for Ligue 1
    Metz is Qualified for Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Dunkerque is Qualified for Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Caen is Relegated to National
    Which TV channels are streaming of Ajaccio - Lorient?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan