Lorenzo Sonego vs Roberto Carballes Baena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Paris Lorenzo Sonego - Roberto Carballes Baena
Result
2:0
27/10/2024 at 07:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final
Lorenzo Sonego - Roberto Carballes Baena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
94
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
67%71%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (38/50)63% (42/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (14/25)46% (13/28)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)86% (12/14)
1st Return Points Won
37% (25/67)24% (12/50)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (15/28)44% (11/25)
Break Points Converted
14% (2/14)25% (1/4)
Winners
4417
Unforced Errors
4319
Net Points Won
72% (33/46)73% (11/15)
Service Points Won
69% (52/75)58% (55/95)
Return Points Won
42% (40/95)31% (23/75)
Total Points Won
54% (92/170)46% (78/170)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Sonego
60.4%
Roberto Carballes Baena
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Lorenzo Sonego - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.54)

    2.37
    (2.25)
    6.6%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Sonego - Roberto Carballes Baena?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sonego is ranked ATP: 49. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 55.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Sonego will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sonego won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Cazaux A. (LL)Bye
    2Shelton B.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    3Fognini F. (Q)Bublik A.0 : 2
    4Arnaldi M.Rune H. (13)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (9)Navone M.2 : 0
    6Baez S.Kecmanovic M. (LL)1 : 2
    7Draper J.Lehecka J.2 : 0
    8ByeFritz T. (5)
    9Zverev A. (3)Bye
    10Darderi L.Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    11Fils A.Cilic M. (PR)2 : 0
    12Struff J-L.Musetti L. (16)2 : 0
    13Tsitsipas S. (10)Carballes Baena R. (LL)2 : 1
    14Borges N.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    15Halys Q. (Q)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    16ByeRublev A. (6)
    17Dimitrov G. (8)Bye
    18Etcheverry T. M.Zhang Z.2 : 0
    19Machac T. (RET.)Rinderknech A. (WC)1 : 0
    20Michelsen A.Hurkacz H. (12)2 : 0
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Mpetshi Perricard G. (WC)1 : 2
    22Khachanov K.O'Connell C. (LL)2 : 1
    23Popyrin A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    24ByeMedvedev D. (4)
    25Ruud C. (7)Bye
    26Thompson J.Martinez P. (Q)2 : 0
    27Bergs Z. (LL)Gasquet R. (WC)2 : 0
    28Mannarino A. (WC)Paul T. (11)2 : 0
    29Humbert U. (15)Nakashima B.2 : 1
    30Shang J. (Q)Giron M. (Q)0 : 2
    31Jarry N.Sonego L. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Cazaux A. (LL)Shelton B.2 : 0
    2Bublik A.Rune H. (13)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (9)Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    4Draper J.Fritz T. (5)2 : 1
    5Zverev A. (3)Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    6Fils A.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    7Tsitsipas S. (10)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    8Cerundolo F.Rublev A. (6)2 : 0
    9Dimitrov G. (8)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    10Rinderknech A.Michelsen A.2 : 0
    11Mpetshi Perricard G.Khachanov K.1 : 2
    12Popyrin A.Medvedev D. (4)2 : 1
    13Ruud C. (7)Thompson J.1 : 2
    14Bergs Z.Mannarino A.1 : 2
    15Humbert U. (15)Giron M.2 : 0
    16Jarry N.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cazaux A.Rune H. (13)1 : 2
    2De Minaur A. (9)Draper J.2 : 1
    3Zverev A. (3)Fils A.2 : 1
    4Tsitsipas S. (10)Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    5Dimitrov G. (8)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    6Khachanov K.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    7Thompson J.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Humbert U. (15)Alcaraz C. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Rune H. (13)De Minaur A. (9)2 : 1
    2Zverev A. (3)Tsitsipas S. (10)2 : 0
    3Dimitrov G. (8)Khachanov K.0 : 2
    4Thompson J.Humbert U. (15)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rune H. (13)Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    2Khachanov K.Humbert U. (15)1 : 2

    Final
    1Zverev A. (3)Humbert U. (15)2 : 0
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