Lorenzo Sonego vs Pedro Martinez Portero: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Lorenzo Sonego - Pedro Martinez Portero
Result
1:2
08/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals
Lorenzo Sonego - Pedro Martinez Portero - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
70
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
61%77%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (41/53)71% (36/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (12/34)47% (7/15)
Break Points Saved
73% (8/11)33% (1/3)
Average 1st Serve Speed
197 km/h169 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
162 km/h137 km/h
1st Return Points Won
31% (16/51)23% (12/53)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (8/15)65% (22/34)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)27% (3/11)
Winners
3216
Unforced Errors
4719
Net Points Won
56% (10/18)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
61% (53/87)65% (43/66)
Return Points Won
35% (23/66)39% (34/87)
Total Points Won
50% (76/153)50% (77/153)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
48% (12/25)52% (13/25)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Sonego
63.3%
Pedro Martinez Portero
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Sonego's performance.
  • Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Sonego that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lorenzo Sonego - Pedro Martinez Portero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.73)

    2.59
    (2.1)
    5.4%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Sonego - Pedro Martinez Portero?
  • Users Predictions: Lorenzo Sonego will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lorenzo Sonego will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sonego is ranked ATP: 38. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 47.
    • Both players are in bad shape now.
    • Martinez Portero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Sonego will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Latest results of Pedro Martinez Portero
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2
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