Result
2:1
18/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 54% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 80% (47/59) | 67% (29/43) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 53% (19/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (14/43) | 27% (16/59) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (17/36) | 57% (16/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 11% (1/9) |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 100% (13/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (58/86) | 61% (48/79) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (31/79) | 33% (28/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (89/165) | 46% (76/165) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 8% (1/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 38% (10/26) |
Chances of winning
Lorenzo Sonego
62.3% | Juan Manuel Cerundolo
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lorenzo Sonego - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.36) |
|
2.51 ↓
(3.2) |
5.6%
(4.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Lorenzo Sonego - Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sonego is ranked ATP: 44. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 72.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Sonego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sonego is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Sonego won against Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Lorenzo Sonego has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Manuel Cerundolo won against Lorenzo Sonego?
Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Sonego - Juan Manuel Cerundolo were as follows:
Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
Latest results of Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Prizmic D. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | McDonald M. (Q) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Harris B. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Griekspoor T. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Daniel T. (Q) | Wong C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Shevchenko A. | Monfils G. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Misolic F. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Sonego L. (8) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Giron M. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bergs Z. | Shang J. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Nakashima B. (4) | |
| 13 | Norrie C. (5) | Zhou Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Halys Q. | O'Connell C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Thompson J. | Tabilo A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Prizmic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | McDonald M. | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Griekspoor T. (3) | Daniel T. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shevchenko A. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Sonego L. (8) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Shang J. | Nakashima B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Zhou Y. | O'Connell C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Tabilo A. | Darderi L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Basilashvili N. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Daniel T. | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Giron M. | Nakashima B. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | O'Connell C. | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. (4) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
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