Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 50% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 77% (27/35) | 63% (19/30) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 47% (14/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 37% (13/35) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 50% (9/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 25% (1/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 69% (9/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (36/53) | 56% (32/57) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 32% (17/53) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (61/110) | 45% (49/110) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 11% (1/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Lorenzo Musetti
72.9% | Nikoloz Basilashvili
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.35) |
|
3.53 ↑
(3.31) |
4.5%
(4.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Musetti is ranked ATP: 9. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 114.
- Musetti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Basilashvili is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Musetti is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Musetti won against Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Lorenzo Musetti has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nikoloz Basilashvili won against Lorenzo Musetti?
Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili were as follows:
01.07.2025
Nikoloz Basilashvili
-
Lorenzo Musetti
3:1
02.11.2022
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Nikoloz Basilashvili
2:0
Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
Latest results of Nikoloz Basilashvili
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Prizmic D. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | McDonald M. (Q) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Harris B. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Griekspoor T. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Daniel T. (Q) | Wong C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Shevchenko A. | Monfils G. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Misolic F. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Sonego L. (8) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Giron M. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bergs Z. | Shang J. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Nakashima B. (4) | |
| 13 | Norrie C. (5) | Zhou Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Halys Q. | O'Connell C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Thompson J. | Tabilo A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Prizmic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | McDonald M. | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Griekspoor T. (3) | Daniel T. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shevchenko A. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Sonego L. (8) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Shang J. | Nakashima B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Zhou Y. | O'Connell C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Tabilo A. | Darderi L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Basilashvili N. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Daniel T. | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Giron M. | Nakashima B. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | O'Connell C. | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. (4) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
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