Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/08/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY).

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
13	13
Double Faults
1	10
1st Serve Percentage
68%	60%
1st Serve Points Won
87% (59/68)	86% (66/77)
2nd Serve Points Won
88% (28/32)	51% (26/51)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)	63% (5/8)
Average 1st Serve Speed
178 km/h	209 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
150 km/h	175 km/h
1st Return Points Won
16% (12/77)	15% (10/68)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (25/51)	13% (4/32)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)	0% (0/0)
Winners
39	39
Unforced Errors
15	36
Net Points Won
70% (14/20)	62% (33/53)
Service Points Won
87% (87/100)	71% (89/125)
Return Points Won
29% (36/125)	13% (13/100)
Total Points Won
55% (123/225)	45% (102/225)
Last 10 Balls
4	6
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
100% (21/21)	85% (17/20)
Return Games Won
15% (3/20)	0% (0/21)
Total Games Won
59% (24/41)	41% (17/41)
Distance Covered (metres)
2036	1998

Chances of winning

Lorenzo Musetti
67%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)		2.87 ↓ (3.2)	4.9% (4.8%)

What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 12.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.

Preview Facts

Musetti is ranked ATP: 10. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 39.
Musetti has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Mpetshi Perricard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Mpetshi Perricard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Musetti is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Musetti won against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard?

Lorenzo Musetti has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard won against Lorenzo Musetti?

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard were as follows:

08.07.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 3:1

11.06.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 2:0

Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti

09.08.2025 Benjamin Bonzi - Lorenzo Musetti 2:1 ✺

31.07.2025 Lorenzo Musetti - Alex Michelsen 1:2 ✺

29.07.2025 Lorenzo Musetti - James Duckworth 2:0 ✺

22.07.2025 Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Musetti 2:1 ✺

01.07.2025 Nikoloz Basilashvili - Lorenzo Musetti 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

22.08.2025 Botic Van De Zandschulp - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 2:0 ✺

21.08.2025 Hamad Medjedovic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 0:2 ✺

20.08.2025 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexandre Muller 2:0 ✺

19.08.2025 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Pedro Martinez Portero 2:1 ✺

07.08.2025 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Chak Lam Coleman Wong 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Kopriva V.	3 : 0
2	Popyrin A.	Ruusuvuori E.	3 : 0
3	Royer V. (WC)	Bu Y.	3 : 0
4	Fucsovics M.	Shapovalov D. (27)	0 : 3
5	Bublik A. (23)	Cilic M.	3 : 0
6	Sonego L.	Schoolkate T. (WC)	2 : 3
7	Borges N.	Holt B.	3 : 0
8	Moller E.	Paul T. (14)	0 : 3
9	Musetti L. (10)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	3 : 1
10	Halys Q.	Goffin D.	1 : 3
11	Brooksby J.	Vukic A.	3 : 2
12	Passaro F. (Q)	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
13	Diallo G. (31)	Dzumhur D.	3 : 1
14	Munar J.	Faria J. (LL)	3 : 1
15	Bergs Z.	Tseng C. H.	3 : 0
16	Gomez F. A. (Q)	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
17	Zverev A. (3)	Tabilo A.	3 : 0
18	Bautista-Agut R.	Fearnley J.	1 : 3
19	Monfils G.	Safiullin R.	2 : 3
20	Harris B. (LL)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
21	Humbert U. (22)	Walton A.	1 : 3
22	Kovacevic A.	Wong C. (Q)	0 : 3
23	Duckworth J. (LL)	Boyer T. (WC)	0 : 3
24	Prizmic D. (Q)	Rublev A. (15)	0 : 3
25	Khachanov K. (9)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	3 : 1
26	Dellien H.	Majchrzak K.	1 : 3
27	Riedi L. (Q)	Martinez P.	3 : 0
28	Arnaldi M.	Cerundolo F. (19)	2 : 3
29	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Muller A.	3 : 1
30	Altmaier D.	Medjedovic H.	3 : 2
31	Gaston H.	Mochizuki S. (Q)	0 : 3
32	O'Connell C.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
33	Djokovic N. (7)	Tien L.	3 : 0
34	Svajda Z. (Q)	Piros Z. (Q)	3 : 0
35	Norrie C.	Korda S. (RET.)	2 : 0
36	Comesana F.	Michelsen A. (28)	3 : 1
37	Tiafoe F. (17)	Nishioka Y.	3 : 0
38	Damm M. (Q)	Blanch Dar. (WC)	3 : 0
39	Struff J-L. (Q)	McDonald M.	3 : 1
40	Van De Zandschulp B.	Rune H. (11)	0 : 3
41	Mensik J. (16)	Jarry N.	3 : 0
42	Blanchet U. (Q)	Marozsan F.	3 : 1
43	Fonseca J.	Kecmanovic M.	3 : 0
44	Nardi L.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
45	Nakashima B. (30)	De Jong J. (Q)	3 : 2
46	Kym J. (Q)	Quinn E.	3 : 1
47	Baez S.	Harris L. (Q)	0 : 3
48	Nava E. (WC)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
49	Shelton B. (6)	Buse I. (Q)	3 : 0
50	Carreno-Busta P.	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	3 : 0
51	Thompson J.	Moutet C.	3 : 1
52	Mannarino A.	Griekspoor T. (29)	3 : 0
53	Lehecka J. (20)	Coric B.	3 : 1
54	Ugo Carabelli C.	Etcheverry T. M.	0 : 3
55	Galan D. E. (Alt)	Collignon R.	0 : 3
56	Ofner S.	Ruud C. (12)	0 : 3
57	Medvedev D. (13)	Bonzi B.	2 : 3
58	Navone M.	Giron M.	2 : 3
59	Carballes Baena R.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
60	Shevchenko A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	0 : 3
61	Darderi L. (32)	Hijikata R.	3 : 0
62	Dostanic S. (WC)	Spizzirri E. (WC)	0 : 3
63	Bellucci M.	Shang J. (RET.)	2 : 1
64	Opelka R.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Popyrin A.	3 : 0
2	Royer V.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 3
3	Bublik A. (23)	Schoolkate T.	3 : 0
4	Borges N.	Paul T. (14)	2 : 3
5	Musetti L. (10)	Goffin D.	3 : 0
6	Brooksby J.	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
7	Diallo G. (31)	Munar J.	0 : 3
8	Bergs Z. (WO.)	Draper J. (5)
9	Zverev A. (3)	Fearnley J.	3 : 0
10	Safiullin R.	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
11	Walton A.	Wong C.	1 : 3
12	Boyer T.	Rublev A. (15)	1 : 3
13	Khachanov K. (9)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 3
14	Riedi L.	Cerundolo F. (19)	3 : 2
15	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Altmaier D.	2 : 3
16	Mochizuki S.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
17	Djokovic N. (7)	Svajda Z.	3 : 1
18	Norrie C.	Comesana F.	3 : 1
19	Tiafoe F. (17)	Damm M.	3 : 1
20	Struff J-L.	Rune H. (11)	3 : 2
21	Mensik J. (16)	Blanchet U.	2 : 3
22	Fonseca J.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
23	Nakashima B. (30)	Kym J.	2 : 3
24	Harris L.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
25	Shelton B. (6)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 0
26	Thompson J.	Mannarino A.	1 : 3
27	Lehecka J. (20)	Etcheverry T. M.	3 : 1
28	Collignon R.	Ruud C. (12)	3 : 2
29	Bonzi B.	Giron M.	3 : 2
30	Rinderknech A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	3 : 2
31	Darderi L. (32)	Spizzirri E.	3 : 1
32	Bellucci M.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Shapovalov D. (27)
2	Bublik A. (23)	Paul T. (14)
3	Musetti L. (10)	Cobolli F. (24)
4	Munar J.	Bergs Z.
5	Zverev A. (3)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)
6	Wong C.	Rublev A. (15)
7	Majchrzak K.	Riedi L.
8	Altmaier D.	De Minaur A. (8)
9	Djokovic N. (7)	Norrie C.	3 : 1
10	Tiafoe F. (17)	Struff J-L.	0 : 3
11	Blanchet U.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
12	Kym J.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
13	Shelton B. (RET.) (6)	Mannarino A.	2 : 2
14	Lehecka J. (20)	Collignon R.	3 : 0
15	Bonzi B.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
16	Darderi L. (32)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	Djokovic N. (7)	Struff J-L.
6	Machac T. (21)	Fritz T. (4)
7	Mannarino A.	Lehecka J. (20)
8	Rinderknech A.	Alcaraz C. (2)

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

Which TV channels are streaming of Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Italy	Eurosport 2, Super Tennis
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+