Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublik: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Hong Kong Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik
Result
0:2
11/01/2026 at 02:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - Final
Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
510
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
63%76%
1st serve points won
67% (31/46)78% (40/51)
2nd serve points won
56% (15/27)44% (7/16)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)67% (2/3)
Average 1st serve speed
191 km/h197 km/h
Average 2nd serve speed
157 km/h158 km/h
1st return points won
24% (12/51)37% (17/46)
2nd return points won
56% (9/16)44% (12/27)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)43% (3/7)
Winners
1934
Unforced errors
1227
Net points won
38% (9/24)68% (17/25)
Service Points Won
60% (44/73)70% (47/67)
Return Points Won
30% (20/67)40% (29/73)
Total Points Won
46% (64/140)54% (76/140)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
73% (8/11)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)27% (3/11)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Musetti
47.4%
Alexander Bublik
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 55.1%

Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2
(2.1)

1.8
(1.71)
5.7%
(5.9%)
What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Bublik will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Musetti (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bublik (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 23 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
  • Musetti is ranked ATP: 7. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.
  • Musetti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Bublik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
  • We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik were as follows:
14.06.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik Bublik A. retired
11.01.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik 1:2
Latest results of Alexander Bublik
Draw
Singles - Main

1/16-finals
1Musetti L. (1)Bye
2Etcheverry T. M.Royer V.2 : 0
3Wong C. (WC)Navone M.2 : 0
4De Jong J.Diallo G. (6)0 : 2
5Rublev A. (3)Bye
6Wu Y. (WC)Marozsan F.2 : 0
7Cilic M.Mannarino A.2 : 0
8Dzumhur D.Borges N. (8)0 : 2
9Muller A. (7)Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
10Djere L. (Q)Giron M.0 : 2
11Tabilo A. (Q)Mmoh M. (Q)0 : 2
12ByeKhachanov K. (4)
13Sonego L. (5)Sakamoto R. (NG)2 : 0
14Shang J. (WC)Comesana F.2 : 0
15Struff J-L. (Q)Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 2
16ByeBublik A. (2)

1/8-finals
1Musetti L. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
2Wong C.Diallo G. (6)2 : 1
3Rublev A. (3)Wu Y.2 : 1
4Cilic M.Borges N. (8)0 : 2
5Muller A. (7)Giron M.0 : 2
6Mmoh M.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
7Sonego L. (5)Shang J.0 : 2
8Van De Zandschulp B.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

Quarter-finals
1Musetti L. (1)Wong C.2 : 0
2Rublev A. (3)Borges N. (8)2 : 0
3Giron M.Mmoh M. (RET.)1 : 0
4Shang J.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

Semi-finals
1Musetti L. (1)Rublev A. (3)2 : 1
2Giron M.Bublik A. (2)1 : 2

Final
1Musetti L. (1)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceEurosport 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis
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