Lorenzo Angelini vs Luca Castagnola: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Angelini Lorenzo VVczePaE Lorenzo Angelini - Luca Castagnola
Result
2:0
05/07/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Umag, clay - Final
Lorenzo Angelini - Luca Castagnola - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Last 10 balls
22

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Angelini
62.4%
Luca Castagnola
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Angelini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Angelini than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Angelini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lorenzo Angelini - Luca Castagnola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.47)

    2.48
    (2.42)
    7.5%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 20.50
    Preview Facts
    • Angelini is ranked ATP: 683. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 897.
    • Recent performances by Angelini have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Castagnola is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Castagnola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Angelini is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Angelini
    04.07.2026 Andrej Martin - Lorenzo Angelini Martin A. Retired
    03.07.2026 Giovanni Oradini - Lorenzo Angelini Oradini G. Retired
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
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