Lokomotive Leipzig vs Schalke 04: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bruno-Plache-Stadion (Leipzig).

: DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals
Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.76
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
11	26
Shots on target
4	11
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
8	9
Passes
67% (287/427)	76% (370/490)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.08	3.23
Total shots
11	26
Shots on target
4	11
Shots off target
5	10
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
5	19
Shots outside the Box
6	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
8	9
Touches in opposition box
25	51
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
6	2
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
67% (287/427)	76% (370/490)
Long passes
37% (42/114)	41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
47% (71/150)	64% (117/183)
Crosses
15% (4/27)	35% (13/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	2.12
Throw-ins
38	32
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
62% (8/13)	61% (11/18)
Duels won
69	72
Clearances
63	60
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
10	4
xGOT faced
3.23	1.08
Goals prevented
2.23	1.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Arcalean J. ↓, Kang M. ↑,
66', Maier C. ↓, Cevis D. ↑,
69', Becker T. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
69', Hojlund E. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
78', Maderer S. ↓, Ziane D. ↑,
80', Kurucay H. ↓, Ayhan M. ↑,
80', Gruger M. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
90', Karaman K. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
96', Siebeck A. ↓, Verkamp P. ↑,
105', Grozinger D. ↓, Zimmer L. ↑,
107', 0 - 1, Lasme B. ⚽, Katic N. (A),
112', Becker V. 🟨,
115', Ziane D. 🟨,
116', Katic N. 🟨,
116', Abderrahmane F. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lokomotive Leipzig
18.7%

Draw
22.2%

Schalke 04
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

24.3%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotive Leipzig's form might have worsened.

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Schalke 04's recent form is better than expected.

Lokomotive Leipzig - Schalke 04 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (3.73)	4.25 ↑ (3.83)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	5.7% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Lokomotive Leipzig - Schalke 04?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Schalke's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Schalke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Schalke is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lokomotive Leipzig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Including home match between the teams, Lokomotive Leipzig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotive Leipzig won against Schalke 04?

Lokomotive Leipzig has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Lokomotive Leipzig?

Schalke 04 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotive Leipzig - Schalke 04 were as follows:

Latest results of Lokomotive Leipzig

10.08.2025 Lokomotive Leipzig - Meuselwitz 1:0 ✺

01.08.2025 Lokomotive Leipzig - Altglienicke 1:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Zwickau - Lokomotive Leipzig 1:1 ✺

01.06.2025 TSV Havelse - Lokomotive Leipzig 3:0 ✺

28.05.2025 Lokomotive Leipzig - TSV Havelse 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Schalke 04

09.08.2025 Kaiserslautern - Schalke 04 1:0 ✺

01.08.2025 Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Schalke 04 - Sevilla 2:4 ✺

20.07.2025 Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Schalke 04 0:3 ✺

19.07.2025 Schalke 04 - Twente 0:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/32-finals

1	Illertissen	Nurnberg	4 : 3
2	Saarbrucken	Magdeburg	1 : 3
3	Cottbus	Hannover	1 : 0
4	Sandhausen	RB Leipzig	2 : 4
5	FC Gutersloh	Union Berlin	0 : 5
6	Arminia Bielefeld	Werder Bremen	1 : 0
7	Bahlinger	Heidenheim	0 : 5
8	Pirmasens	Hamburger SV	1 : 2
9	Delmenhorst	B. Monchengladbach	2 : 3
10	Meuselwitz	Karlsruher SC	0 : 5
11	Preussen Munster	Hertha Berlin	0 : 1
12	Ulm	Elversberg	0 : 1
13	Lohne	Greuther Furth	0 : 2
14	RSV Eintracht	Kaiserslautern	0 : 7
15	Engers	Eintracht Frankfurt	0 : 5
16	RW Essen	Dortmund	0 : 1
17	Lubeck	Darmstadt	1 : 2
18	Lokomotive Leipzig	Schalke	0 : 1
19	Hallescher	Augsburg	0 : 2
20	BFC Dynamo	Bochum	1 : 3
21	Schweinfurt	Dusseldorf	2 : 4
22	Lotte	Freiburg	0 : 2
23	Viktoria Koln	Paderborn	1 : 3
24	Grossaspach	Bayer Leverkusen	0 : 4
25	SG Dynamo Dresden	Mainz	0 : 1
26	Braunschweig	Stuttgart	4 : 5
27	Hemelingen	Wolfsburg	0 : 9
28	FC 08 Homburg	Holstein Kiel	0 : 2
29	Regensburg	FC Koln	1 : 2
30	Wehen	Bayern Munich	2 : 3
31	Norderstedt	St. Pauli	0 : 1
32	Hansa Rostock	Hoffenheim	0 : 4

1/16-finals

1	Illertissen	Magdeburg
2	Cottbus	RB Leipzig
3	Union Berlin	Arminia Bielefeld
4	Heidenheim	Hamburger SV
5	B. Monchengladbach	Karlsruher SC
6	Hertha Berlin	Elversberg
7	Greuther Furth	Kaiserslautern
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	Dortmund
9	Darmstadt	Schalke
10	Augsburg	Bochum
11	Dusseldorf	Freiburg
12	Paderborn	Bayer Leverkusen
13	Mainz	Stuttgart
14	Wolfsburg	Holstein Kiel
15	FC Koln	Bayern Munich
16	St. Pauli	Hoffenheim

Which TV channels are streaming of Lokomotive Leipzig - Schalke 04?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Germany	DFB Play, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, tv.dfb.de, WOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball