Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Croatian HNL Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : HNL - Round 6
  • Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.73
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
81% (350/431)80% (285/358)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.33
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
81% (350/431)80% (285/358)
Long passes
44% (37/85)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
55% (52/94)70% (62/89)
Crosses
22% (4/18)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.84
Throw-ins
2220
Fouls
1118
Tackles
63% (10/16)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5248
Clearances
2634
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.330.82
Goals prevented
-0.67-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Jankovic N. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Husic A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Krivak F. , Virgili D. ,
  • 50', Menalo L. 🟨,
  • 59', Menalo L. , Lasickas J. ,
  • 59', Gojak A. , Orec A. ,
  • 60', Butic S. , Adu Adjei D. ,
  • 62', Dajcer L. 🟨,
  • 67', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
  • 72', Jankovic N. , Cop D. ,
  • 72', Stojakovic A. , Sobol H. ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Virgili D. ,
  • 75', Pajac M. , Leovac M. ,
  • 84', Dantas T. , Bogojevic B. ,
  • 87', Petrovic D. 🟨,
  • 88', Boskovic B. , Jukic T. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Dajcer L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Lasickas J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rijeka
65.7%
Draw
23.4%
Lokomotiva Zagreb
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 23.9% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 22.7% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rijeka's performance.
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiva Zagreb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rijeka that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiva Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.58)
    4.44
    (3.85)
    10
    (5.16)
    -1.8%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 1 - 50%). Lokomotiva (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 3.
    • Rijeka is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lokomotiva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lokomotiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rijeka is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:19. (average 2.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:5. (average 2.7:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rijeka 0:1
    26.01.2025 Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb 4:1
    18.10.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rijeka 2:2
    04.08.2024 Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb 4:0
    28.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rijeka 3:1
    Latest results of Rijeka
    31.08.2025 Hajduk Split - Rijeka 2:2
    28.08.2025 PAOK - Rijeka 5:0
    24.08.2025 Rijeka - Varaždin 1:2
    21.08.2025 Rijeka - PAOK 1:0
    16.08.2025 Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb 0:2
    Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb751115:41116
    2Hajduk Split741211:7413
    3Lok. Zagreb73319:8112
    4Gorica732210:9111
    5Varazdin72328:809
    6Slaven Belupo73049:12-39
    7Istra 196172238:11-38
    8Osijek71336:7-16
    9Rijeka71338:10-26
    10Vukovar 199171247:15-85

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Prva NL

    Which TV channels are streaming of Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
    croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
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