Result
3:3
13/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 9
Advertisement
Watch and bet Motagua - Lobos UPNFM live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 15', Garcia F. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Gutierrez C. ⚽,
- 25', 0 - 2, Martinez J. ⚽,
- 26', Gomez R. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 2, Gomez R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Serrano J. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 46', Argueta C. ↓, Melendez C. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 3, Garcia F. ⚽,
- 54', Nunez J. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
- 65', Baquedano M. 🟨,
- 69', Ponce J. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 70', Baquedano M. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 76', Portillo J. ↓, Zapata R. ↑,
- 77', Garcia R. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 3, Macias J. ⚽,
- 85', Cabrera M. ↓, Castillo Y. ↑,
- 89', Moreira R. ↓, Ardon C. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 3, Melendez D. ⚽,
- 90+6', Mejia G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motagua
66.1% | Draw
20.4% | Lobos UPNFM
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motagua's performance.Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lobos UPNFM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motagua that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lobos UPNFM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Motagua - Lobos UPNFM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.71) |
4.5 ↑
(3.65) |
6.87 ↑
(4.17) |
8.6%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 4.
- Motagua is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lobos UPNFM has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Motagua is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Motagua will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 47:21. (average 2.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:10. (average 2.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Lobos UPNFM?
Motagua has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Motagua?
Lobos UPNFM has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
07.04.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Motagua
2:1
06.02.2025
Motagua
-
Lobos UPNFM
5:0
28.09.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Motagua
0:2
26.07.2024
Motagua
-
Lobos UPNFM
4:2
14.04.2024
Motagua
-
Lobos UPNFM
4:0
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Olancho | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Juticalpa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Real Espana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Motagua | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Genesis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:23 | -15 | 4 |
| 11 | Victoria | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Motagua - Lobos UPNFM?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
