Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Honduras Liga Nacional Lobos UPNFM - Motagua
Result
2:1
07/04/2025 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 14
Lobos UPNFM - Motagua - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Lobos UPNFM - Motagua live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
610
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
48
Goalkeeper Saves
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Serrano J. , Argueta J. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Rochez J. ,
  • 20', 2 - 1, Pena K. ,
  • 33', Melendez D. 🟨,
  • 37', Auzmendi R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Medina L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mejia C. , Macias J. ,
  • 46', Melendez D. , Martinez Betanco W. J. ,
  • 47', Rochez J. 🟨,
  • 60', Padilla J. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 66', Gutierrez C. , Vasquez E. ,
  • 66', Santos M. , Nunez J. ,
  • 66', Argueta J. , Argueta C. ,
  • 67', Rochez J. , Aceituno M. ,
  • 75', Cardozo Coitinho S. , Vazquez M. ,
  • 80', Aceituno M. 🟨,
  • 82', Rochez C. , Lopez B. ,
  • 90+3', Gomez R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lobos UPNFM
19.7%
Draw
25.6%
Motagua
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17% 24.2% 58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 23.5% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motagua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lobos UPNFM - Motagua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.66
    (5.37)
    3.59
    (3.76)
    1.68
    (1.55)
    8.9%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Honduras Liga Nacional with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Lobos UPNFM - Motagua?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 0.
    • Recent matches Lobos UPNFM is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Motagua is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Motagua is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 20:46 (average 1:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lobos UPNFM won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:18 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Motagua were as follows:
    06.02.2025 Motagua - Lobos UPNFM 5:0
    28.09.2024 Lobos UPNFM - Motagua 0:2
    26.07.2024 Motagua - Lobos UPNFM 4:2
    14.04.2024 Motagua - Lobos UPNFM 4:0
    18.02.2024 Lobos UPNFM - Motagua 0:2
    Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
    Latest results of Motagua
    29.03.2025 CD Marathón - Motagua 1:1
    12.03.2025 Motagua - Olancho 1:0
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Olimpia (1)Bye
    2Marathon (4)Victoria (5)0 : 1, 0 : 0
    3Real Espana (2)Bye
    4Motagua (3)Genesis (6)5 : 1, 4 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Olimpia (1)Victoria (5)2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2Real Espana (2)Motagua (3)2 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Olimpia (1)Real Espana (2)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lobos UPNFM - Motagua?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    hondurasHondurasDeportes TV
    usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan