Lloyd Harris vs Luca Castelnuovo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Jingshan Challenger Men Lloyd Harris - Luca Castelnuovo
Result
Castelnuovo L. retired
22/09/2025 at 23:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - Final
Lloyd Harris - Luca Castelnuovo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
82
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
66%52%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (15/19)50% (7/14)
2nd Serve Points Won
70% (7/10)54% (7/13)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)0% (0/2)
1st Return Points Won
50% (7/14)21% (4/19)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (6/13)30% (3/10)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)0% (0/2)
Service Points Won
76% (22/29)52% (14/27)
Return Points Won
48% (13/27)24% (7/29)
Total Points Won
63% (35/56)38% (21/56)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (5/5)60% (3/5)
Return Games Won
40% (2/5)0% (0/5)
Total Games Won
70% (7/10)30% (3/10)

Chances of winning


Lloyd Harris
81.9%
Luca Castelnuovo
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lloyd Harris's performance.
  • Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castelnuovo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lloyd Harris that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castelnuovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lloyd Harris - Luca Castelnuovo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.36)

    5.13
    (2.81)
    7.5%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Lloyd Harris - Luca Castelnuovo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Harris (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Harris is ranked ATP: 258. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 465.
    • Harris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Castelnuovo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Castelnuovo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lloyd Harris
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Yevseyev D. (LL)Gojo B. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Smith C.Soriano Barrera A. (Alt)2 : 0
    3Tseng C. H.Wu Tung-Lin (Q)2 : 0
    4Hanfmann Y.Boyer T. (7)2 : 1
    5Svrcina D. (3)Shin S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Spizzirri E.Zhukayev B.2 : 0
    7Sharipov M. (Q)Eubanks C.0 : 2
    8Harris L. (Q)Holt B. (6)2 : 0
    9Draxl L. (8)Skatov T.2 : 1
    10Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Harris B.0 : 2
    11Jasika O. (Alt)Cui J. (WC)2 : 1
    12Bolt A. (Q)Duckworth J. (4)2 : 1
    13Basilashvili N. (5)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    14Tomic B.Zhang T. (WC)2 : 0
    15Hsu Y. H.Onclin G. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Te R. (WC)McDonald M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Yevseyev D.Smith C.2 : 1
    2Tseng C. H.Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    3Svrcina D. (3)Spizzirri E.1 : 2
    4Eubanks C.Harris L.0 : 2
    5Draxl L. (8)Harris B.0 : 2
    6Jasika O.Bolt A.1 : 2
    7Basilashvili N. (5)Tomic B.0 : 2
    8Onclin G.McDonald M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Yevseyev D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    2Spizzirri E.Harris L. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Harris B.Bolt A.1 : 2
    4Tomic B.McDonald M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Hanfmann Y.Spizzirri E.1 : 2
    2Bolt A.McDonald M. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Spizzirri E.Bolt A.2 : 0
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