Llaneros SA vs Alianza Valledupar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar
Result
0:1
11/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Ponton E. (Col)
Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.17
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
81% (287/353)80% (282/351)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.470.54
Total shots
155
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
127
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
108
Passes
81% (287/353)80% (282/351)
Long passes
48% (27/56)48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
66% (79/119)56% (45/81)
Crosses
13% (4/30)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.32
Fouls
810
Tackles
88% (7/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
2931
Clearances Total
1030
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.540.47
Goals prevented
-0.460.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Sierra C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Mendoza Benitez D. A. 🟨,
  • 57', Montes G. 🟨,
  • 61', Mendoza Benitez D. A. , Manjarres R. ,
  • 61', Torres E. , Pardo F. ,
  • 66', Hinojosa R. , Churi B. ,
  • 70', Navarro E. , Rosales Y. ,
  • 70', Fernandez W. , Munoz J. ,
  • 74', Valencia K. , Rangel M. ,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Pardo F. , Martinez M. (A),
  • 79', Gil M. , Aponza Cantonil S. A. ,
  • 83', Montes G. , Medina M. ,
  • 83', Sierra C. , Reina H. ,
  • 83', Espinal F. , Sierra M. ,
  • 87', Sierra M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4738kve7

Chances of winning


Llaneros SA
35.9%
Draw
32.3%
Alianza Valledupar
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 31.6% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 29% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.53)
    2.92
    (2.96)
    2.97
    (2.99)
    6.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Llaneros SA will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 14).
    • Recent matches Llaneros SA is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alianza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Llaneros SA will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Llaneros SA
    Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior642014:6814
    2Atl. Nacional632111:5611
    3Llaneros63216:2411
    4Fortaleza62408:6210
    5Ind. Medellin63128:7110
    6Deportes Tolima63125:4110
    7Santa Fe62317:619
    8Pereira62226:608
    9Bucaramanga42118:627
    10Envigado51316:606
    11Chico61326:7-16
    12La Equidad61323:5-26
    13Dep. Cali61327:11-46
    14Dep. Pasto31206:515
    15U. Magdalena51223:7-45
    16Alianza61235:10-55
    17America De Cali41123:4-14
    18Aguilas60426:8-24
    19Once Caldas50236:10-42
    20Millonarios40133:6-31

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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