Kilmarnock vs Livingston: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Scottish Premier League Kilmarnock - Livingston
Result
2:2
02/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Round 1
  • Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)
Kilmarnock - Livingston - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.71
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
66% (175/264)79% (380/478)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.542.73
Total shots
814
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1424
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
66% (175/264)79% (380/478)
Long passes
32% (22/68)46% (36/78)
Passes in final third
56% (55/99)68% (92/136)
Crosses
27% (4/15)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.92
Throw-ins
3134
Fouls
1114
Tackles
65% (13/20)65% (13/20)
Duels won
6566
Clearances
5332
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
2.731.54
Goals prevented
0.73-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Daniels D. , Polworth L. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 0, Watson D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Carey G. , Rudden Z. ,
  • 49', Montgomery A. 🟨,
  • 61', Daniels D. , Anderson B. ,
  • 65', Stanger G. 🟥,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Muirhead R. (Pen),
  • 68', Dackers M. , McKenzie R. ,
  • 72', Winter A. , Smith L. ,
  • 73', Lyons B. 🟨,
  • 77', Sylla M. , May S. ,
  • 81', Anderson B. 🟨,
  • 82', Muirhead R. , Bokila J. ,
  • 85', Lowery T. , Thomson J. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Pittman S. ,
  • 89', Finlayson D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kilmarnock
43.2%
Draw
28.1%
Livingston
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 26.7% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 27.6% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kilmarnock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Kilmarnock - Livingston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.98)
    3.36
    (3.53)
    3.31
    (3.65)
    5.6%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Livingston?
  • Users Predictions: Kilmarnock will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 4.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Kilmarnock might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Livingston: Kerr C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Kennedy M. (Hip Injury) Magennis K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Livingston: Denholm A. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Livingston were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Kilmarnock - Livingston 1:0
    07.02.2024 Kilmarnock - Livingston 1:0
    16.12.2023 Livingston - Kilmarnock 0:0
    21.10.2023 Kilmarnock - Livingston 3:1
    13.05.2023 Kilmarnock - Livingston 2:0
    Latest results of Kilmarnock
    26.07.2025 Kilmarnock - East Fife 4:0
    22.07.2025 Kelty Hearts - Kilmarnock 1:0
    16.07.2025 Kilmarnock - Livingston 1:0
    12.07.2025 Brora Rangers - Kilmarnock 0:2
    04.07.2025 Kilmarnock - Ayr United 1:0
    Latest results of Livingston
    26.07.2025 Livingston - Kelty Hearts 6:0
    19.07.2025 Livingston - Brora Rangers 2:0
    16.07.2025 Kilmarnock - Livingston 1:0
    12.07.2025 East Fife - Livingston 1:2
    05.07.2025 Livingston - Kortrijk 1:1
    Scottish Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hearts11002:023
    2Hibernian11002:113
    3Celtic11001:013
    4Dundee Utd10102:201
    5Falkirk10102:201
    6Kilmarnock10102:201
    7Livingston10102:201
    8Motherwell10101:101
    9Rangers10101:101
    10Dundee FC10011:2-10
    11St. Mirren10010:1-10
    12Aberdeen10010:2-20

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