Liverpool vs Southampton: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Cup Liverpool - Southampton
Result
2:1
23/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
Liverpool - Southampton - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.841.87
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
90% (591/656)83% (340/412)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.841.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.520.98
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
3723
Accurate through passes
41
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
128
Passes
90% (591/656)83% (340/412)
Long passes
39% (11/28)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
80% (127/158)56% (50/89)
Crosses
13% (2/16)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.901.32
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
812
Tackles
23% (3/13)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4428
Clearances
2724
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.981.52
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Isak A. , Chiesa F. (A),
  • 45', Archer C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Isak A. , Ekitike H. ,
  • 51', Jander C. , Charles S. ,
  • 51', Archer C. , Downs D. ,
  • 53', Ekitike H. 🟨,
  • 57', Jones C. , Bradley C. ,
  • 62', Scienza L. , Robinson J. ,
  • 75', Ngumoha R. , Danns J. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Charles S. , Quarshie J. (A),
  • 81', Leoni G. , Kerkez M. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Ekitike H. , Chiesa F. (A),
  • 86', Ekitike H. 🟨,
  • 88', Edwards R. , Stewart R. ,
  • 88', Jelert E. , Fellows T. ,
  • 90+2', Manning R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
73.4%
Draw
16.5%
Southampton
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
84.5% 10.6% 4.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liverpool's form might have worsened.
  • Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southampton's recent form is better than expected.
  • Liverpool - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.11)
    5.82
    (8.84)
    9.67
    (19.08)
    2.8%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Liverpool - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 79.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 - S`hampton (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 4.
    • Liverpool is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • S`hampton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • S`hampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Liverpool is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Welington (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:15. (average 2.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:3. (average 2.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Southampton were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Liverpool - Southampton 3:1
    18.12.2024 Southampton - Liverpool 1:2
    24.11.2024 Southampton - Liverpool 2:3
    28.02.2024 Liverpool - Southampton 3:0
    28.05.2023 Southampton - Liverpool 4:4
    Latest results of Liverpool
    20.09.2025 Liverpool - Everton 2:1
    14.09.2025 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1
    31.08.2025 Liverpool - Arsenal 1:0
    Latest results of Southampton
    20.09.2025 Hull City - Southampton 3:1
    14.09.2025 Southampton - Portsmouth 0:0
    30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2
    26.08.2025 Norwich City - Southampton 0:3
    23.08.2025 Southampton - Stoke City 1:2
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
    Which TV channels are streaming of Liverpool - Southampton?
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