Newcastle United vs Liverpool: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Newcastle United - Liverpool
Result
2:3
25/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 2
  • Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)
Newcastle United - Liverpool - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.70
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
68% (164/241)83% (362/435)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.382.12
Total shots
105
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
68% (164/241)83% (362/435)
Long passes
28% (15/53)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
48% (49/102)71% (72/102)
Crosses
17% (4/24)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.52
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1715
Tackles
42% (5/12)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
2044
Interceptions
70
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
2.121.38
Goals prevented
-0.88-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Gravenberch R. 🟨,
  • 25', Konate I. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Gravenberch R. , Gakpo C. (A),
  • 44', Burn D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gordon A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', 0 - 2, Ekitike H. , Gakpo C. (A),
  • 48', Bruno Guimaraes 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Bruno Guimaraes , Livramento V. (A),
  • 66', Tonali S. , Miley L. ,
  • 76', Joelinton , Ramsey J. ,
  • 76', Barnes H. , Osula W. ,
  • 76', Trippier K. , Hall L. ,
  • 80', Wirtz F. , Bradley C. ,
  • 80', Ekitike H. , Chiesa F. ,
  • 81', Schar F. , Thiaw M. ,
  • 87', Bradley C. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Osula W. ,
  • 90+6', Gakpo C. , Ngumoha R. ,
  • 90+6', Jones C. , Elliott H. ,
  • 90+10', 2 - 3, Ngumoha R. , Salah M. (A),
  • 90+12', Salah M. , Endo W. ,

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
30.2%
Draw
25.5%
Liverpool
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 24.1% 51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3% 23.5% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.
  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newcastle United - Liverpool Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (3.79)
    3.77
    (3.91)
    2.15
    (1.85)
    4.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Liverpool?
  • Users Predictions: 96 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 16 - 16.7%). Liverpool will win (votes: 66 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 14.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 59.5%78.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liverpool will win (22 of 29 users predict this - 75.86%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • Recent form of Newcastle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Liverpool is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Liverpool is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Isak A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Willock J. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Liverpool: Bradley C. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:41. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Liverpool were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Liverpool - Newcastle United 2:0
    04.12.2024 Newcastle United - Liverpool 3:3
    01.01.2024 Liverpool - Newcastle United 4:2
    27.08.2023 Newcastle United - Liverpool 1:2
    18.02.2023 Newcastle United - Liverpool 0:2
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    Latest results of Liverpool
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool44009:4512
    2Arsenal43019:189
    3Tottenham43018:179
    4Bournemouth43016:519
    5Chelsea42209:368
    6Everton42115:327
    7Sunderland42115:327
    8Manchester City42028:446
    9Crystal Palace41304:136
    10Newcastle41213:305
    11Fulham41213:4-15
    12Brentford41125:7-24
    13Brighton41124:6-24
    14Manchester Utd41124:7-34
    15Nottingham41124:8-44
    16Leeds41121:6-54
    17Burnley41034:7-33
    18West Ham41034:11-73
    19Aston Villa40220:4-42
    20Wolves40042:9-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Newcastle United - Liverpool?
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