Result
16/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: EFL Cup - Final
- Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (359/450) | 63% (143/227) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 73% (101/138) | 54% (51/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 35% (6/17) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 65% (11/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Burn D. ⚽, Trippier K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, Isak A. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
- 57', Diogo Jota ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
- 57', Konate I. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
- 67', Mac Allister A. ↓, Gakpo C. ↑,
- 74', Gravenberch R. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
- 74', Diaz L. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
- 81', Isak A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
- 81', Barnes H. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
- 90', Pope N. 🟨,
- 90', Murphy J. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Chiesa F. ⚽, Elliott H. (A),
- 90+8', Chiesa F. 🟨,
- 90+9', Tonali S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Liverpool
53.2% | Draw
24.6% | Newcastle United
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liverpool's form might have worsened.Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Liverpool - Newcastle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.53) |
3.92 ↓
(4.53) |
4.41 ↓
(5.76) |
3.7%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liverpool - Newcastle United?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 29 - 82.9%). Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 70.4% – 95.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 4.
- Liverpool is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Newcastle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Liverpool is a favorite.
- There will not play in Liverpool: Alexander-Arnold T.
(Ankle Injury)
Bradley C.
(Thigh Injury)
Gomez J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Morton T.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S.
(Knee Injury)
Gordon A.
(Red Card)
Hall L.
(Foot Injury)
Lascelles J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Liverpool: Konate I.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Liverpool to win the game is with odds 1.72.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 13 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 40:19 (average 2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25:8 (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool won against Newcastle United?
Liverpool has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Liverpool?
Newcastle United has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Newcastle United were as follows:
26.02.2025
Liverpool
-
Newcastle United
2:0
04.12.2024
Newcastle United
-
Liverpool
3:3
01.01.2024
Liverpool
-
Newcastle United
4:2
27.08.2023
Newcastle United
-
Liverpool
1:2
18.02.2023
Newcastle United
-
Liverpool
0:2
Latest results of Liverpool
Latest results of Newcastle United
Draw
PreliminaryFinal| 1 | Accrington | Oldham | |
| 2 | Barnet | Newport | 2 : 3 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Liverpool - Newcastle United?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 1, DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2 |
 Greece | Action 24 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Malaysia | SKY NET Sports X, TVS |
 Malta | TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
 Norway | TV3+, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | Setanta Sports |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 South-africa | SuperSport Premier League |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
 Thailand | Thairath TV, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
 United-kingdom | BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, ITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Showcase, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra, STV, STV Player, UTV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia |
