Liverpool vs Lille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Liverpool - Lille
Result
2:1
21/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Liverpool - Lille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.48
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
134
Shots on Goal
71
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
02
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
33
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
Free Kicks
912
Offsides
13
Fouls
129
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1913
Touches in the Opposition Box
2416
Passes
90% (521/582)89% (408/461)
Passes in the final third
73% (95/131)74% (52/70)
Crosses
13% (2/16)0% (0/11)
Tackles
65% (13/20)80% (8/10)
Clearances Total
1525
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Salah M. ⚽, Jones C. (A),
  • 35', Mandi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Jones C. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
  • 46', Gravenberch R. ↓, Mac Allister A. ↑,
  • 59', Mandi A. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, David J. ⚽,
  • 63', Szoboszlai D. ↓, Endo W. ↑,
  • 63', Cabella R. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
  • 63', Bakker M. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Elliott H. ⚽,
  • 74', Mukau N. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
  • 74', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Ismaily ↑,
  • 74', Diaz L. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
  • 86', Bradley C. ↓, Alexander-Arnold T. ↑,
  • 88', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Elliott H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
75.5%		Draw
15.7%		Lille
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.9% 16% 10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1% 16% 10.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    Liverpool - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.27 ↓
    (1.3)    		 6.15 ↑
    (6.01)    		 10.96 ↑
    (9.45)    		 4%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Liverpool - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 47 - 83.9%). Lille will win (votes: 4 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 74.3% – 93.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Liverpool is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lille is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Liverpool is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Diogo Jota (Muscle Injury) Gomez J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Heart Problems) Fernandez-Pardo M. (Ankle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Liverpool
    18.01.2025 Brentford - Liverpool 0:2 ✺
    14.01.2025 Nottingham Forest - Liverpool 1:1 ✺
    11.01.2025 Liverpool - Accrington Stanley 4:0 ✺
    08.01.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Liverpool 1:0 ✺
    05.01.2025 Liverpool - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Lille
    17.01.2025 Lille - Nice 2:1 ✺
    14.01.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lille 1:2 ✺
    10.01.2025 Auxerre - Lille 0:0 ✺
    04.01.2025 Lille - Nantes 1:1 ✺
    20.12.2024 Rouen FC - Lille 0:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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