Liverpool Montevideo vs Peñarol de Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
2:2
13/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
36
Total shots
89
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Mendez J. ,
  • 16', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Acosta L. ,
  • 35', 2 - 1, Hernandez A. ,
  • 39', Rea M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mendez J. , Gularte E. ,
  • 46', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Arezo M. ,
  • 48', Bregante F. 🟨,
  • 52', Herrera N. 🟨,
  • 55', Silvera M. 🟨,
  • 57', Remedi E. 🟨,
  • 61', Bregante F. , Cayetano A. ,
  • 62', Cayetano A. 🟨,
  • 64', Remedi E. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 68', Acosta L. , Suarez L. ,
  • 68', Castro M. , Perdomo F. ,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Olivera M. ,
  • 79', Silvera M. , David Terans ,
  • 83', Amaro K. , Machado R. ,
  • 83', Milans P. , Suarez D. ,
  • 90', Jesus Trindade 🟨,
  • 90+1', Olivera M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool Montevideo
25.3%
Draw
28.8%
Peñarol de Montevideo
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.4% 27.3% 48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 26.7% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.68
    (3.8)
    3.2
    (3.39)
    2.03
    (1.92)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.
    • Recent performances by Liverpool have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peñarol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Peñarol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    10.09.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 2:1
    19.06.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 3:2
    20.03.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 0:3
    09.11.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 2:0
    03.05.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol751115:6916
    2Cerro Largo75118:3516
    3Boston River743011:3815
    4Montevideo City742115:9614
    5Nacional751116:7913
    6Liverpool M73319:6312
    7Defensor Sp74034:7-312
    8Danubio731311:7410
    9Miramar731313:10310
    10Juventud73045:7-29
    11Progreso72148:11-37
    12CA Cerro72146:10-47
    13Racing Montevideo72144:13-97
    14Wanderers71152:9-74
    15River Plate70250:10-102
    16Plaza Colonia70164:13-91

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