Finland vs Lithuania, EuroBasket: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Basketball EuroBasket Finland - Lithuania
Result
78:81
01/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EuroBasket - Round 4
Finland - Lithuania - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Finland - Lithuania live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7371
Field Goals Made
3032
Field Goals %
41.1%45.1%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4448
2-Point Field Goals Made
2026
2-Point Field Goals %
45.5%54.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2923
3-Point Field Goals Made
106
3-Point Field Goals %
34.5%26.1%
Free Throws Attempted
1015
Free Throws Made
812
Free Throws %
80%80%
Offensive Rebounds
1312
Defensive Rebounds
2426
Total Rebounds
3738
Assists
2021
Blocks
62
Turnovers
1414
Steals
68
Personal Fouls
2117

Highlights

Chances of winning


Finland
41.7%
Lithuania
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 63.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Finland's performance.
  • Lithuania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lithuania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finland than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lithuania than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Finland - Lithuania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.9)

    1.65
    (1.43)
    3.6%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 175.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Finland - Lithuania?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Lithuania will win (votes: 12 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Finland: 60.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Finland will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:90.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finland won 1.
    • Finland has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lithuania's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lithuania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lithuania will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Finland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 674:822. (average 67.4:82.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Finland - Lithuania were as follows:
    14.08.2023 Lithuania - Finland 84:80
    04.08.2023 Finland - Lithuania 81:79
    Latest results of Finland
    30.08.2025 Montenegro - Finland 65:85
    29.08.2025 Finland - Great Britain 109:79
    27.08.2025 Sweden - Finland 90:93
    21.08.2025 Finland - Poland 106:87
    17.08.2025 Poland - Finland 88:97
    Latest results of Lithuania
    30.08.2025 Lithuania - Germany 88:107
    29.08.2025 Lithuania - Montenegro 94:67
    27.08.2025 Great Britain - Lithuania 70:94
    22.08.2025 Lithuania - Iceland 96:83
    20.08.2025 Lithuania - Turkey 81:84
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place
    Which TV channels are streaming of Finland - Lithuania?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 3
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 4
    germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    lithuaniaLithuaniaTV3
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, SportKlub 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenSVT Play
    worldWorldCourt Side 1891
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan