Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League One - Round 11
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Lincoln City - Exeter City live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (235/349) | 69% (214/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 53 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (235/349) | 69% (214/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (35/82) | 37% (34/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (92/163) | 51% (55/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Whitworth J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Yfeko J. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 68', Collins J. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
- 78', Darikwa T. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
- 78', Street R. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
- 82', Wareham J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
- 82', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 87', House B. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
- 89', Andrew D. ↓, Turns E. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, McDonald K. ⚽,
- 90+11', Brierley E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
57.8% | Draw
23.9% | Exeter City
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Lincoln City - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.81) |
3.89 ↑
(3.56) |
5.12 ↑
(4.3) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Exeter City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
- Lincoln is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Exeter has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lincoln is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Mendes C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Aitchison J.
(Ankle Injury)
Cox S.
(Inactive)
McDonald K.
(Injury)
Rydel R.
(Injury)
- We predict that Lincoln will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Exeter City?
Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Lincoln City?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Exeter City were as follows:
22.03.2025
Lincoln City
-
Exeter City
0:0
16.11.2024
Exeter City
-
Lincoln City
0:0
17.02.2024
Lincoln City
-
Exeter City
1:0
28.10.2023
Exeter City
-
Lincoln City
1:1
11.03.2023
Exeter City
-
Lincoln City
2:1
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Stockport County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Northampton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Wigan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Exeter | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Reading | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
| 21 | Burton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Which TV channels are streaming of Lincoln City - Exeter City?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
