Lincoln City vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Lincoln City - Chelsea
Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
Lincoln City - Chelsea - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.772.14
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
69% (156/227)89% (555/622)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.772.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.481.03
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
3824
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
917
Passes
69% (156/227)89% (555/622)
Long passes
44% (26/59)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
56% (63/112)76% (81/107)
Crosses
32% (6/19)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.37
Throw-ins
1912
Fouls
179
Tackles
60% (9/15)40% (4/10)
Duels won
5250
Clearances
1745
Interceptions
174
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.030.48
Goals prevented
-0.97-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Andrey Santos 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Street R. , Varfolomeev I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 1, George T. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Buonanotte F. , George T. (A),
  • 54', Fernandez E. 🟨,
  • 56', Draper F. 🟨,
  • 59', Garnacho A. , Estêvão ,
  • 63', House B. 🟨,
  • 70', George T. , Mheuka S. ,
  • 70', Fernandez E. , Cucurella M. ,
  • 70', Gittens J. , Neto P. ,
  • 71', House B. , Hackett-Fairchild R. ,
  • 71', Varfolomeev I. , Bayliss T. ,
  • 71', Street R. , Obikwu J. ,
  • 71', Draper F. , Collins J. ,
  • 83', Collins J. 🟨,
  • 85', Montsma L. , Okoronkwo F. ,
  • 90', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Cucurella M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Buonanotte F. , Walsh R. ,

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
8.2%
Draw
14.4%
Chelsea
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
6.1% 11.8% 82.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Lincoln City - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.33
    (15.28)
    6.74
    (7.88)
    1.25
    (1.13)
    3.7%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 55.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lincoln is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chelsea has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lincoln has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Chelsea is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Knock) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Sanchez R. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Lincoln: Jefferies D. (Hip Injury) Lembikisa D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Palmer C. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    Latest results of Chelsea
    17.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Chelsea 3:1
    13.09.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 2:2
    30.08.2025 Chelsea - Fulham 2:0
    22.08.2025 West Ham United - Chelsea 1:5
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
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