Lilli Tagger vs Darja Semenistaja: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:1
06/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Mumbai, hard - Quarter-finals
Lilli Tagger - Darja Semenistaja - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
112
Double Faults
42
1st serve percentage
66%59%
1st serve points won
76% (48/63)67% (36/54)
2nd serve points won
34% (11/32)46% (17/37)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)33% (2/6)
1st return points won
33% (18/54)29% (18/63)
2nd return points won
54% (20/37)66% (21/32)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
62% (59/95)60% (53/88)
Return Points Won
40% (35/88)38% (36/95)
Total Points Won
51% (94/183)49% (89/183)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
86% (12/14)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)14% (2/14)
Total games won
57% (16/28)43% (12/28)

Chances of winning


Lilli Tagger
58.8%
Darja Semenistaja
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lilli Tagger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Darja Semenistaja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilli Tagger than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lilli Tagger that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darja Semenistaja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lilli Tagger - Darja Semenistaja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.65)

    2.25
    (2.09)
    7.1%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Lilli Tagger - Darja Semenistaja?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH -2.5 Games - Tagger (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Lilli Tagger will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lilli Tagger will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Tagger (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Semenistaja (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Tagger is ranked WTA: 128. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 99.
    • Tagger is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Semenistaja's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tagger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tagger might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lilli Tagger
    05.02.2026 Lilli Tagger - Eri Shimizu 2:0
    30.01.2026 Renata Zarazua - Lilli Tagger Zarazua R. retired
    Latest results of Darja Semenistaja
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Raina A. (LL)Matsuda M. (Q)0 : 2
    2Sawangkaew M.Morvayova V.2 : 0
    3Bhamidipaty S. R. (WC)Sidorova K. (Q)0 : 2
    4Nugroho P. M.Prozorova T. (9)0 : 2
    5Jeanjean L. (3)Chaudhari V. (WC)2 : 0
    6Fossa Huergo N.Kuramochi M.0 : 2
    7Xu M. (RET.)Park S.0 : 1
    8Rajeshwaran Revathi M. (WC)Tararudee L. (5)0 : 2
    9Iatcenko P. (8)Yamaguchi M.1 : 2
    10Kabbaj Y. (LL)Plipuech P. (Q)2 : 0
    11Tian F.Saigo R.2 : 0
    12Pawlikowska Z. (Q)Vandewinkel H. (4)0 : 2
    13Tagger L. (7)Adkar V. (WC)2 : 0
    14Yamalapalli S.Shimizu E.0 : 2
    15Hontama M.Ibragimova A.2 : 0
    16Cherubini D.Semenistaja D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Matsuda M.Sawangkaew M.0 : 2
    2Sidorova K.Prozorova T. (9)0 : 2
    3Jeanjean L. (3)Kuramochi M.2 : 0
    4Park S.Tararudee L. (5)1 : 2
    5Yamaguchi M.Kabbaj Y.2 : 1
    6Tian F.Vandewinkel H. (4)2 : 1
    7Tagger L. (7)Shimizu E.2 : 0
    8Hontama M.Semenistaja D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sawangkaew M.Prozorova T. (9)2 : 0
    2Jeanjean L. (3)Tararudee L. (5)1 : 2
    3Yamaguchi M.Tian F.1 : 2
    4Tagger L. (7)Semenistaja D. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sawangkaew M.Tararudee L. (5)2 : 1
    2Tian F.Tagger L. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sawangkaew M.Tagger L. (7)2 : 0
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