Toulouse vs Lille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Toulouse - Lille
Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 29
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
Toulouse - Lille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.37
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
83% (358/429)87% (509/584)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.450.54
Total shots
106
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2512
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
83% (358/429)87% (509/584)
Long passes
38% (18/48)34% (12/35)
Passes in final third
62% (66/106)69% (64/93)
Crosses
31% (5/16)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.35
Fouls
1511
Tackles
83% (10/12)75% (12/16)
Duels won
3648
Clearances Total
1423
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.541.45
Goals prevented
-1.460.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. , Andre B. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Cresswell C. , Messali R. (A),
  • 45+4', 1 - 2, Bakker M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Messali R. , King J. ,
  • 63', David J. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 63', Bakker M. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 64', Cresswell C. 🟨,
  • 65', Martinez C. 🟨,
  • 71', Alexsandro 🟨,
  • 75', Haraldsson H. , Bouaddi A. ,
  • 84', Mandi A. , Meunier T. ,
  • 84', Fernandez-Pardo M. , Mbappe E. ,
  • 85', Mbappe E. 🟨,
  • 87', Suazo G. , Edjouma N. ,
  • 87', Sierro V. , Zajc M. ,

Chances of winning


Toulouse
31%
Draw
29.2%
Lille
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 29.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 29.6% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Toulouse - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.72)
    3.24
    (3.28)
    2.4
    (2.66)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Toulouse - Lille?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 1.
    • Toulouse is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Lille is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z. (Hamstring Injury) Nicolaisen R. (Calf Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Mukau N. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24:31 (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Lille were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    25.02.2024 Toulouse - Lille 3:1
    12.11.2023 Lille - Toulouse 1:1
    18.03.2023 Toulouse - Lille 0:2
    17.09.2022 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    30.03.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:4
    07.03.2025 Toulouse - Monaco 1:1
    02.03.2025 Angers - Toulouse 0:4
    23.02.2025 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:4
    Latest results of Lille
    05.04.2025 Lyon - Lille 2:1
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0
    15.03.2025 Nantes - Lille 1:0
    12.03.2025 Lille - Borussia Dortmund 1:2
    08.03.2025 Lille - Montpellier 1:0
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    2MetzDunkerque

    Final
    1ByeTBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Toulouse - Lille?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceDAZN 2, DAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 6
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainbeIN Sports
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldDisney+
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