Lille vs Monaco, French Ligue 1: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lille - Monaco
Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 2
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
Lille - Monaco - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.031.32
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
83% (345/416)79% (337/425)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.031.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.72
Total shots
186
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
134
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3315
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
147
Passes
83% (345/416)79% (337/425)
Long passes
61% (28/46)33% (18/54)
Passes in final third
75% (85/114)68% (74/109)
Crosses
24% (7/29)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.52
Throw-ins
1926
Fouls
714
Tackles
67% (10/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5936
Clearances
2326
Interceptions
1712
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.720.59
Goals prevented
0.72-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Mukau N. , Fernandez-Pardo M. ,
  • 74', Teze J. , Vanderson ,
  • 74', Minamino T. , Biereth M. ,
  • 74', Golovin A. , Ben Seghir E. ,
  • 81', Correia F. , Bentaleb N. ,
  • 83', Genesio B. 🟨,
  • 85', Caio Henrique , Ouattara K. ,
  • 86', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
  • 87', Camara L. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, Giroud O. , Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
  • 90+7', Mawissa C. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Giroud O. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lille
29%
Draw
26%
Monaco
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 27.5% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 27.4% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lille - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (2.8)
    3.65
    (3.38)
    2.12
    (2.36)
    4.9%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 10 - 19.2%). Monaco will win (votes: 33 - 63.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 17.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 50.4%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Monaco (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 2.
    • Lille has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monaco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lille has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Monaco has had a series of home games.
    • Monaco could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Lille: Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Gomes A. (Injury) Mbappe E. (Hamstring Injury) Sahraoui O. (Foot Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Embolo B. (Inactive) Fati A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Salisu M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.8:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Monaco were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Lille - Monaco 2:1
    18.10.2024 Monaco - Lille 0:0
    24.04.2024 Monaco - Lille 1:0
    29.10.2023 Lille - Monaco 2:0
    14.05.2023 Monaco - Lille 0:0
    Latest results of Lille
    17.08.2025 Brest - Lille 3:3
    09.08.2025 West Ham United - Lille 1:1
    06.08.2025 Lille - Venezia 3:0
    02.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 3:2
    18.07.2025 Como - Lille 3:2
    Latest results of Monaco
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1
    08.08.2025 Monaco - Inter Milan 1:2
    03.08.2025 Ajax - Monaco 2:2
    31.07.2025 Monaco - Torino 3:1
    30.07.2025 Monaco - Torino 3:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon22004:046
    2Toulouse22003:036
    3PSG22002:026
    4Strasbourg22002:026
    5Lille21104:314
    6Lorient21014:133
    7Marseille21015:323
    8Monaco21013:213
    9Nice21013:213
    10Lens21012:203
    11Angers21011:103
    12Auxerre21012:3-13
    13Rennes21011:4-33
    14Brest20113:5-21
    15Nantes20020:2-20
    16Le Havre20022:5-30
    17Paris FC20022:6-40
    18Metz20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lille - Monaco?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belarusBelarusOkko Sport
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
    franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
    israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalSport TV6
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
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