Liepāja vs RFS: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Latvian Virsliga Liepāja - RFS
Result
2:1
14/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 13
Liepāja - RFS - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.71
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
78
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
76% (218/288)86% (500/579)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.261.22
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
310
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1825
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
520
Passes
76% (218/288)86% (500/579)
Long passes
40% (25/63)44% (15/34)
Passes in final third
53% (30/57)69% (124/179)
Crosses
23% (3/13)39% (9/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.81
Throw-ins
2826
Fouls
205
Tackles
48% (12/25)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5655
Clearances
4323
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
75
xGOT faced
1.222.26
Goals prevented
0.220.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Melnis B. , Gueye D. (A),
  • 22', Iljins K. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Talla M. ,
  • 38', Melnis B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Korobenko A. , Purtic S. ,
  • 47', 2 - 1, Oloko E. ,
  • 61', Ndjiki R. , Porsan Clemente J. ,
  • 63', Stuglis E. 🟨,
  • 64', Melnis B. , Leidsman K. ,
  • 73', Panic S. 🟨,
  • 74', Talla M. , Konate F. ,
  • 81', Prenga H. 🟨,
  • 86', Diaw M. , Isajevs V. ,
  • 90', Mares P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Oloko E. , Samba T. ,

Chances of winning


Liepāja
17%
Draw
22.3%
RFS
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.7% 20.9% 63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1% 20.1% 65.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RFS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Liepāja - RFS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.43
    (5.75)
    4.13
    (4.3)
    1.52
    (1.42)
    8.5%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Liepāja - RFS?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 0.
    • Recent performances by Liepāja have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • RFS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Liepāja has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, RFS is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:30. (average 0.7:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - RFS were as follows:
    29.03.2025 RFS - Liepāja 4:1
    20.09.2024 RFS - Liepāja 2:0
    01.07.2024 Liepāja - RFS 1:3
    10.05.2024 RFS - Liepāja 4:1
    30.03.2024 Liepāja - RFS 0:3
    Latest results of Liepāja
    10.05.2025 Grobiņa - Liepāja 2:0
    06.05.2025 Tukums 2000 - Liepāja 2:2
    02.05.2025 Metta LU - Liepāja 2:4
    25.04.2025 Liepāja - Super Nova 2:2
    19.04.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja 4:2
    Latest results of RFS
    09.05.2025 RFS - BFC Daugavpils 5:1
    05.05.2025 Jelgava - RFS 2:2
    01.05.2025 RFS - Auda Riga 1:0
    26.04.2025 RFS - Riga 0:1
    20.04.2025 Super Nova - RFS 1:2
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC16123138:102839
    2RFS16121339:142537
    3Auda1674523:16725
    4FK Liepaja1664625:28-322
    5BFC Daugavpils1663722:26-421
    6Jelgava1655616:16020
    7Super Nova1638522:22017
    8Grobina1644816:32-1616
    9Metta16331013:34-2112
    10Tukums 20001625914:30-1611

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Liepāja - RFS?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
    worldWorldOnefootball
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