Result
2:1
14/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 0.71 |
Ball Possession |
---|
33% | 67% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
76% (218/288) | 86% (500/579) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 0.71 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.26 | 1.22 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
76% (218/288) | 86% (500/579) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (25/63) | 44% (15/34) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (30/57) | 69% (124/179) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (3/13) | 39% (9/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.43 | 0.81 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 5 |
Tackles |
---|
48% (12/25) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
43 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.22 | 2.26 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.22 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Melnis B. ⚽, Gueye D. (A),
- 22', Iljins K. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 1, Talla M. ⚽,
- 38', Melnis B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Korobenko A. ↓, Purtic S. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Oloko E. ⚽,
- 61', Ndjiki R. ↓, Porsan Clemente J. ↑,
- 63', Stuglis E. 🟨,
- 64', Melnis B. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 73', Panic S. 🟨,
- 74', Talla M. ↓, Konate F. ↑,
- 81', Prenga H. 🟨,
- 86', Diaw M. ↓, Isajevs V. ↑,
- 90', Mares P. 🟨,
- 90+1', Oloko E. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Liepāja 17% | Draw 22.3% | RFS 60.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RFS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liepāja - RFS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.43 ↓ (5.75) |
4.13 ↓ (4.3) |
1.52 ↑ (1.42) |
8.5% (11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - RFS?
The most likely score is 1:2.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 0.
- Recent performances by Liepāja have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- RFS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Liepāja has had a series of away games.
- In this match, RFS is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:30. (average 0.7:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against RFS?
Liepāja has won 0 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Liepāja?
RFS has won 9 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - RFS were as follows:
29.03.2025
RFS
-
Liepāja
4:1
20.09.2024
RFS
-
Liepāja
2:0
01.07.2024
Liepāja
-
RFS
1:3
10.05.2024
RFS
-
Liepāja
4:1
30.03.2024
Liepāja
-
RFS
0:3
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Riga FC | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 38:10 | 28 | 39 |
2 | RFS | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39:14 | 25 | 37 |
3 | Auda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
4 | FK Liepaja | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:28 | -3 | 22 |
5 | BFC Daugavpils | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 21 |
6 | Jelgava | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Super Nova | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Grobina | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16:32 | -16 | 16 |
9 | Metta | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 12 |
10 | Tukums 2000 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:30 | -16 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Liepāja - RFS?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
World | Onefootball |