Result
2:1
14/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (218/288) | 86% (500/579) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (218/288) | 86% (500/579) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/63) | 44% (15/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 69% (124/179) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 39% (9/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (12/25) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Melnis B. ⚽, Gueye D. (A),
- 22', Iljins K. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 1, Talla M. ⚽,
- 38', Melnis B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Korobenko A. ↓, Purtic S. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Oloko E. ⚽,
- 61', Ndjiki R. ↓, Porsan Clemente J. ↑,
- 63', Stuglis E. 🟨,
- 64', Melnis B. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 73', Panic S. 🟨,
- 74', Talla M. ↓, Konate F. ↑,
- 81', Prenga H. 🟨,
- 86', Diaw M. ↓, Isajevs V. ↑,
- 90', Mares P. 🟨,
- 90+1', Oloko E. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
17% | Draw
22.3% | RFS
60.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RFS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liepāja - RFS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.43 ↓
(5.75) |
4.13 ↓
(4.3) |
1.52 ↑
(1.42) |
8.5%
(11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - RFS?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). RFS will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFS: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 0.
- Recent performances by Liepāja have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- RFS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Liepāja has had a series of away games.
- In this match, RFS is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:30. (average 0.7:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against RFS?
Liepāja has won 0 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Liepāja?
RFS has won 9 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - RFS were as follows:
29.03.2025
RFS
-
Liepāja
4:1
20.09.2024
RFS
-
Liepāja
2:0
01.07.2024
Liepāja
-
RFS
1:3
10.05.2024
RFS
-
Liepāja
4:1
30.03.2024
Liepāja
-
RFS
0:3
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 48:12 | 36 | 51 |
| 2 | RFS | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 44:18 | 26 | 46 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 32 |
| 4 | Auda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Grobina | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20:39 | -19 | 19 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20:39 | -19 | 15 |
| 10 | Metta | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17:40 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Liepāja - RFS?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
