Result
1:0
14/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (414/498) | 77% (328/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (414/498) | 77% (328/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (42/81) | 34% (23/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (54/89) | 60% (81/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 31% (9/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.46 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 41 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Vientiess O. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Gueye D. ⚽, Leidsman K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
- 67', Leidsman K. ↓, Lausic M. ↑,
- 74', Becers R. ↓, Boroduska E. ↑,
- 74', Petersons A. ↓, Promise V. ↑,
- 77', Emenike K. ↓, Janovskis A. ↑,
- 78', Yuzvak A. ↓, Peilans M. ↑,
- 78', Promise V. 🟨,
- 83', Samba T. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 88', Alekseiciks K. ↓, Campos I. ↑,
- 90+1', Melnis B. ↓, Domjanic N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
55.8% | Draw
24.5% | Jelgava
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liepāja's form might have worsened.Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liepāja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelgava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Liepāja - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.41) |
3.73 ↓
(4.75) |
4.62 ↓
(6.09) |
9.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - Jelgava?
The most likely score is 2:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 2.
- Liepāja is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Jelgava is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Liepāja is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 47:19 (average 2.4:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Liepāja won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:7 (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Jelgava?
Liepāja has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Liepāja?
Jelgava has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Jelgava were as follows:
03.11.2024
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
2:2
10.08.2024
Liepāja
-
Jelgava
3:0
14.07.2024
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
2:4
02.06.2024
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
1:1
23.04.2024
Liepāja
-
Jelgava
0:1
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25:10 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29:10 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | Auda | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 |
| 5 | Jelgava | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Metta | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 11 |
| 9 | Grobina | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 11 |
| 10 | Tukums 2000 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Liepāja - Jelgava?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
