Jelgava vs Liepāja: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Latvian Virsliga Jelgava - Liepāja
Result
0:1
30/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 16
Jelgava - Liepāja - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.09
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
05
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
77% (292/381)81% (343/424)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.72
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1719
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
77% (292/381)81% (343/424)
Long passes
39% (23/59)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
62% (67/108)66% (80/122)
Crosses
16% (3/19)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.58
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
1314
Tackles
50% (7/14)83% (15/18)
Duels won
4848
Clearances
1934
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
0.720.00
Goals prevented
-0.280.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Petersons A. , Muhammad Y. ,
  • 52', Sorokins V. 🟨,
  • 65', Promise V. 🟨,
  • 66', Becers R. , Peilans M. ,
  • 67', 0 - 1, Melnis B. ,
  • 81', Ullman O. 🟨,
  • 83', Yuzvak A. , Janovskis A. ,
  • 83', Emenike K. , Purs V. ,
  • 87', Traore A. , Dodo ,
  • 87', Oloko E. , Leidsman K. ,
  • 87', Melnis B. , Simic M. ,
  • 87', Diaw M. , Patijcuks D. ,
  • 90+4', Iljins K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jelgava
36.7%
Draw
27.3%
Liepāja
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 26.9% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 25.9% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Jelgava - Liepāja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.35)
    3.34
    (3.3)
    2.54
    (2.5)
    9.6%
    (12.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:45. (average 0.9:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:28. (average 1.1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Liepāja were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Liepāja - Jelgava 1:0
    03.11.2024 Jelgava - Liepāja 2:2
    10.08.2024 Liepāja - Jelgava 3:0
    14.07.2024 Jelgava - Liepāja 2:4
    02.06.2024 Jelgava - Liepāja 1:1
    Latest results of Jelgava
    25.05.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava 1:0
    21.05.2025 Super Nova - Jelgava 0:0
    15.05.2025 Jelgava - Auda Riga 3:1
    10.05.2025 Riga - Jelgava 2:0
    05.05.2025 Jelgava - RFS 2:2
    Latest results of Liepāja
    24.05.2025 Liepāja - Auda Riga 0:0
    19.05.2025 Riga - Liepāja 2:0
    14.05.2025 Liepāja - RFS 2:1
    10.05.2025 Grobiņa - Liepāja 2:0
    06.05.2025 Tukums 2000 - Liepāja 2:2
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC21173151:123954
    2RFS22171453:203352
    3FK Liepaja22105736:33335
    4Auda21104731:23834
    5BFC Daugavpils2175930:40-1026
    6Jelgava2166919:23-424
    7Grobina21541220:41-2119
    8Super Nova2139925:31-618
    9Tukums 200021461123:39-1618
    10Metta21351317:43-2614

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Jelgava - Liepāja?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV
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