Result
4:2
19/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (210/289) | 82% (366/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 3.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (210/289) | 82% (366/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (41/80) | 49% (27/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (66/105) | 66% (79/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 37% (10/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 60 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.05 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.05 | -1.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Kone M. ⚽, Ivanovs E. (A),
- 8', Sorokins V. 🟨,
- 14', Dodo ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
- 22', Vientiess O. 🟨,
- 40', Ivanovs E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Galajs A. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
- 57', Melnis B. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 57', Samba T. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 58', Diallo B. ↓, Lizunovs V. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Fofana W. ⚽,
- 70', Leidsman K. ↓, Diaw M. ↑,
- 70', Vientiess O. ↓, Simic M. ↑,
- 71', Patijcuks D. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 1, Gueye D. ⚽,
- 79', 3 - 1, Fofana W. ⚽,
- 81', Diedhiou B. ↓, Kauselis K. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 2, Gueye D. ⚽,
- 87', Diaw M. 🟨,
- 88', 4 - 2, Kauselis K. (Pen),
- 90', Kone M. ↓, Kopilovs M. ↑,
- 90', Diakite T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
30.2% | Draw
28.1% | Liepāja
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BFC Daugavpils's form might have worsened.Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liepāja's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BFC Daugavpils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liepāja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.21) |
3.27 ↓
(3.53) |
2.2 ↓
(2.75) |
8.9%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is Liepāja will win! (6 of 6 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Daugavpils won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Liepāja will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Daugavpils won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 15:38 (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Daugavpils won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:18 (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Liepāja?
BFC Daugavpils has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against BFC Daugavpils?
Liepāja has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja were as follows:
09.11.2024
Liepāja
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:3
24.08.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Liepāja
0:2
15.06.2024
Liepāja
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
28.04.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Liepāja
0:0
05.11.2023
BFC Daugavpils
-
Liepāja
2:1
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | 20 | 30 |
| 2 | RFS | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 28 |
| 3 | Auda | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Jelgava | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 18 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Metta | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 12 |
| 8 | Grobina | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:25 | -12 | 12 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Tukums 2000 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
