Liepāja vs Auda Riga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Latvian Virsliga Liepāja - Auda Riga
Result
2:0
27/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 24
Liepāja - Auda Riga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.29
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
81% (310/382)87% (455/522)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.630.89
Total shots
129
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
126
Passes
81% (310/382)87% (455/522)
Long passes
56% (39/70)53% (23/43)
Passes in final third
62% (61/98)76% (117/154)
Crosses
18% (3/17)7% (2/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.61
Throw-ins
1420
Fouls
612
Tackles
59% (10/17)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4029
Clearances
3315
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.890.63
Goals prevented
0.89-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Kragliks R. 🟨,
  • 22', Babic A. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Melnis B. , Sorokins V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kragliks R. , Ogunji A. ,
  • 46', Hrvoj T. , Ouedraogo M. ,
  • 64', Monteiro E. , Traore A. ,
  • 65', Gueye D. , Dodo ,
  • 65', Leidsman K. , Samba T. ,
  • 65', Traore A. , Patijcuks D. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Dodo , Samba T. (A),
  • 73', Rubenis O. , Ramiro J. ,
  • 78', Clemente M. , Jeudi S. ,
  • 81', Melnis B. , Ogunniyi A. ,
  • 83', Dodo 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lausic M. , Saveljevs A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Liepāja
33.7%
Draw
27.9%
Auda Riga
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 26.5% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 26.1% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Liepāja - Auda Riga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.59)
    3.31
    (3.39)
    2.4
    (2.32)
    8.4%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Liepāja - Auda Riga?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Auda will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Auda Riga will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Liepāja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Auda Riga were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Liepāja - Auda Riga 0:0
    09.04.2025 Auda Riga - Liepāja 3:0
    05.10.2024 Liepāja - Auda Riga 2:1
    25.09.2024 Auda Riga - Liepāja 3:0
    21.07.2024 Auda Riga - Liepāja 2:0
    Latest results of Liepāja
    19.07.2025 Liepāja - Riga 2:3
    12.07.2025 JFK Ventspils - Liepāja 0:2
    04.07.2025 RFS - Liepāja 2:1
    30.06.2025 Liepāja - Grobiņa 2:0
    25.06.2025 Tukums 2000 - Liepāja 1:3
    Latest results of Auda Riga
    20.07.2025 Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils 1:3
    16.07.2025 Auda Riga - Larne 2:3
    10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0
    05.07.2025 Auda Riga - Jelgava 2:0
    01.07.2025 Super Nova - Auda Riga 0:1
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC27224167:194870
    2RFS27221471:254667
    3FK Liepaja28145946:42447
    4BFC Daugavpils281171043:47-440
    5Auda281241235:31440
    6Jelgava28781326:35-929
    7Super Nova285111233:43-1026
    8Tukums 200028671529:50-2125
    9Grobina28651726:52-2623
    10Metta28561726:58-3221

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Liepāja - Auda Riga?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
    worldWorldOnefootball
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