Libertad Loja vs SD Aucas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Libertad Loja - SD Aucas
Result
3:2
22/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 26
Libertad Loja - SD Aucas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.01
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
78% (269/345)74% (225/304)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.01
xG on target (xGOT)
2.020.94
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1933
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
910
Passes
78% (269/345)74% (225/304)
Long passes
58% (38/66)51% (32/63)
Passes in final third
64% (72/112)62% (70/113)
Crosses
63% (10/16)24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.421.23
Throw-ins
1221
Fouls
1210
Tackles
86% (6/7)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4844
Clearances
3717
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.942.02
Goals prevented
-1.06-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Caicedo E. , Quinonez Y. (A),
  • 37', Carcelen Carabali M. A. 🟨,
  • 39', Becerra K. 🟨,
  • 39', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Ontaneda J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 1, Caicedo E. , Ayovi W. (A),
  • 54', Garcia A. , Gruezo C. ,
  • 56', 2 - 2, Almagro A. ,
  • 65', Zambrano C. , Miranda B. ,
  • 69', 3 - 2, Caicedo E. , Zambrano I. (A),
  • 73', Bravo J. , Avila D. ,
  • 73', Ayovi W. , Humanante J. ,
  • 75', Almagro A. , Uchuari J. ,
  • 75', Ontaneda J. , Spina A. L. ,
  • 75', Mina A. , Cano L. ,
  • 79', Spina A. L. 🟨,
  • 83', Uchuari J. , Montenegro B. ,
  • 86', Biojo R. 🟨,
  • 88', Caicedo E. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 88', Arboleda C. , Monaga J. ,
  • 90+2', Spina A. L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Libertad Loja
37.9%
Draw
28.1%
SD Aucas
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.6% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 28.4% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Libertad Loja - SD Aucas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.49)
    3.35
    (3.28)
    2.82
    (2.78)
    6.4%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - SD Aucas?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Aucas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - SD Aucas were as follows:
    05.05.2025 SD Aucas - Libertad Loja 2:0
    26.10.2024 Libertad Loja - SD Aucas 1:1
    04.09.2024 SD Aucas - Libertad Loja 0:1
    05.05.2024 SD Aucas - Libertad Loja 2:0
    27.08.2023 SD Aucas - Libertad Loja 1:2
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    16.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas 1:0
    09.08.2025 SD Aucas - LDU Quito 1:0
    30.07.2025 Ecuagenera - SD Aucas 0:1
    26.07.2025 SD Aucas - Delfín 2:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle ✔ 29189255:233263
    2Barcelona SC ✔ 29165845:321353
    3LDU Quito ✔ 29139745:301548
    4U. Catolica291210756:381846
    5Dep. Cuenca29137934:27746
    6Orense29137934:32246
    7Libertad291110841:36543
    8Emelec291181030:34-441
    9Aucas ✔ 291171137:40-340
    10Macara ✔ 298111029:29035
    11EL Nacional ✔ 29971332:41-934
    12Delfin296121126:42-1630
    13Tecnico U29771525:43-1828
    14Vinotinto29761634:42-827
    15Manta ✔ 295111333:50-1726
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 29661733:50-1724

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Loja - SD Aucas?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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