Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Loja: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito).

: Liga Pro - Round 16
Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	1.20
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
90% (446/498)	83% (279/337)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	1.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.04	0.84
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
7	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
22	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
14	5
Passes
90% (446/498)	83% (279/337)
Long passes
67% (43/64)	47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
80% (96/120)	75% (92/122)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.11	0.60
Throw-ins
10	14
Fouls
5	14
Tackles
69% (9/13)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
45	30
Clearances
16	23
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.84	2.04
Goals prevented
-0.16	1.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Cazares ⚽, Mercado P. (A),
35', Biojo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Quinonez A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Quinonez O. (Pen),
57', Hoyos M. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
57', Ibarra R. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
58', Pata E. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
68', Santamaria T. 🟨,
69', Santamaria T. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
69', Cazares ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
72', Ayovi W. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
90+1', Nazareno L. 🟨,
90+2', Caicedo E. 🟨,
90+3', Bolanos D. ↓, Bardales W. ↑,
90+5', Spinelli C. 🟨,
90+5', Caicedo N. 🟨,
90+6', Montano J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
90+7', Humanante J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Independiente del Valle
68.3%

Draw
19.7%

Libertad Loja
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.3%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

21.2%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.47)	4.73 ↑ (4.13)	7.68 ↑ (6.17)	8.1% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
Ind del Valle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Libertad has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Ind del Valle is the clear favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Libertad Loja?

Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Independiente del Valle?

Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja were as follows:

15.02.2025 Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle 2:0

20.09.2024 Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle 1:1

07.04.2024 Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja 3:0

17.09.2023 Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja 2:0

14.04.2023 Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle 0:0

Latest results of Independiente del Valle

31.05.2025 Delfín - Independiente del Valle 1:1 ✺

27.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:1 ✺

23.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 2:1 ✺

18.05.2025 Vinotinto - Independiente del Valle 1:3 ✺

15.05.2025 River Plate - Independiente del Valle 6:2 ✺

Latest results of Libertad Loja

02.06.2025 Vinotinto - Libertad Loja 1:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará 0:1 ✺

19.05.2025 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Libertad Loja - Delfín 0:1 ✺

05.05.2025 SD Aucas - Libertad Loja 2:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	27	17	8	2	50:20	30	59
2	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
3	LDU Quito	27	12	9	6	42:26	16	45
4	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
5	U. Catolica	27	11	9	7	51:35	16	42
6	Libertad	27	11	9	7	40:34	6	42
7	Orense	27	12	6	9	31:31	0	42
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	27	6	11	10	25:40	-15	29
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	27	6	6	15	29:38	-9	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )

Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz